Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew
The Road to Riches Weekend of 22nd-23rd April
Coming up this weekend
- Horse Racing, Over the jumps at Ayr and Bangor, On the flat at Brighton, Newbury, Nottingham and Thirsk.
- Football, the FA Cup Semi-Finals and Premier League fixtures
- Snooker, the World Championship continues
- Cricket, the IPL continues
- Tennis the ATP Madrid Open
- Golf the Mexico Open on the USPGA and on the DP World Tour the Korea Championhip
Free Tip
NFL Draft Thursday Thursday 27th April
How many Quarterbacks will be drafted in the first round?
The first round of the 2023 draft takes place next Thursday. Four Quarterbacks are “locks” to be selected in the first round. Either Bryce Young,most likely, or CJ Stroud will be the first player selected, and the other not long after. The Panthers have traded from 9 to 1 and given up other draft picks and DJ Moore to do so, they only do that because of their severe need to acquire a franchise Quarterback. The Texans with the second draft pick also need a long term solution at the position.
After those two players Anthony Richardson and Will Levis are in the frame to be selected by the likes of the Indianapolis Colts, Las Vegas Raiders and Tennessee Titans in the top 11 picks, or other franchises who may trade up to high draft spots to secure their prospects at the position.
Whilst selecting any rookie Quarterback high is a risk (for every cast iron prospect such as Joe Burrow, there is a Zach Wilson, selected number 2 by the Jets, to counter with) there is a fundamental imbalance in the league. 32 teams do not have long term solutions at the position, and teams without this are said to be in “Quarterback purgatory”. So if teams in this position get a chance to resolve the issue in the draft they’ll look to take it. Having a good rookie Quarterback on their first contract provides a competitive advantage for teams, who can pay the Quarterback comparatively little for the first four or five years of their career and within the operation of a league wide salary cap they can then allocate resources elsewhere on the roster. Their flexibility to do this reduces dramatically where Quarterbacks are on expensive veteran contracts.
The advantage of taking a Quarterback in the first round and hitting on a successful player is also clear. Whereas rookie contracts for draft rounds 2-7 are for four years, for first round picks teams have the option of extending to a fifth year.
So beyond the four Quarterbacks mentioned above, there is a possibility of a fifth player being selected. Firstly the player, Hendon Hooker from Tennessee, might well be worthy of that draft positioning and secondly there are competitive and structural imperatives within the league to finding Quarterbacks and drafting them in the first round.
The NFL draft industry produces volumes of draft analysis by thousands of people. Some of those rank Hooker the third best Quarterback in this draft, as a pure pocket passer with an impressive college record (6,080 passing yards and 58 touchdowns in the last two seasons, SEC player of the year )with the downside that he is recovering from an ACL injury in his final college season.
What really appeals though is the list of teams that might need a young Quarterback, outside the top 10 picks who could be interested at the first round draft spot. In addition teams in the early part of the second round might consider trading to the end of the first round to secure the fifth round option.
In no particular order they are, and this is not an exhaustive list:
Minnesota Vikings (pick 23) Kirk Cousins at age 34 is a free agent after this season, unlikely to want to give him another big contract. Unlikely to be in draft position next year to get one of the two coming superstars (Williams or Maye).
Seattle Seahawks (picks 5 and 20) the second of these two picks gained in the Russell Wilson trade is a candidate for a Quarterback to provide the long term answer beyond Geno Smith.
Detroit Lions (picks 6 and 18) Pick 18 is a spot where they might try to find a successor to /improvement on Jared Goff.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (pick 19) Post Tom Brady, with Kyle Trask and Baker Mayfield on the roster and a big rebuild on the way.
Baltimore Ravens (pick 22) Have to have an alternative path should Lamar Jackson move on or mot play this year.
Add to them the Titans (pick 11th), a candidate to move up with a second round pick, the Commanders (pick 16th) and the Patriots (pick 14th, also a candidate to move up from the second round).
So that’s 8 teams, and we just need one. I like the odds of 5 Quarterbacks being selected in the first round, yet the prices have 4+ as the underdog and I think it should be the favourite. A caveat, only a few UK firms have draft markets live at the time of writing and these prices are only at Skybet, Bet365 and Betfair Sportsbook/Paddy Power
15 points Over 4.5 Quarterbacks to be selected in the first round 6/5 SkyBet Evens Bet365
I’ll keep checking in on all the books in the run up to next Thursday and if enough firms price the draft up will do a separate free column on various markets before the draft starts.
Dominance
There is an overwhelming sense that after only three races of the new Formula One season a procession has begun to an inevitable conclusion of Max Verstappen and Red Bull claiming the title and the manner in which it is likely to play out will be far less welcomed by F1 as it attempts to hang on to all the new fans it has attracted in recent years.
In the opening two races in Bahrain and Saudi Arabia Red Bull have secured two one-twos. In Jeddah Verstappen came back from 15th on the grid to take second with both cars exhibiting remarkable pace, at times a second a lap quicker than the rest of the field. Then in Melbourne Verstappen won again, and Perez climbed from 20th to 5th at the end.
In both Jeddah and Melbourne Verstappen roared past Lewis Hamilton as if the Mercedes was in a lower formula, such was the Red Bull advantage assisted by the effectiveness of their DRS unit.
Such ascendancy is not unusual in F1. In the modern era McLaren’s MP4/4 in the hands of Ayrton Senna and Alain Prost secured 15 poles and 15 wins from 16 races in 1988. In 1992 the Williams FW14B was untouchable. It scored ten wins from 16 races with Nigel Mansell taking nine, including five in a row to open the season before sealing the title with five races remaining. In 2004 Michael Schumacher was unstoppable with 12 wins from the opening 13 races as he and the Ferrari F2004 subdued all opposition. Most recently the boot was on the other foot for Mercedes when they opened the hybrid era with the W05, which took 18 of 19 poles and won 16 races, including 11 one-twos.
Red Bull enjoy an advantage now similar to, if not greater than, any of those cars. Nor does there appear any real likelihood of them even being challenged, certainly in the short term. Mercedes have conceded they have pursued the wrong design concept and have to return to the drawing board.
Ferrari, who at least challenged Red Bull last season, are floundering too. They have neither the pace nor it seems the reliability to compete. Which leaves only Aston Martin, who have done superbly to join the big three but realistically cannot yet muster the resources to bridge the half-second gap to Red Bull.
Red Bull are in a class of one at the front of the field. A season of victories is unlikely but Verstappen and Pérez disappearing into the distance at the head of the field in almost every race is very much on the cards.
Which may be an issue for F1. The sport’s success has driven a huge rise in interest over the past three years especially in the US, a market F1 has targeted for expansion and which will hold three GPs this year. Some newer fans (and to be fair some who have been following the sport for years) are unlikely to feel quite as enthusiastic about a 23-race season where the race winner is largely a foregone conclusion.
The commercial imperative this may impact is an important one, certainly to F1’s owners and there may already be some impetus on the FIA to impose a regulation change in an attempt to peg back the advantage which would be a blunt and unfair way to treat Red Bull. Indeed Toto Wolff emphasised that his rivals instead should be praised not penalised for their success.
The Red Bull may ultimately be one of F1’s great cars but the spectacle might fall flat with a dominance that F1 may not like.
StattoBets Dave Monthly Subscription - Soccer - Tennis - Darts
Stattobets write ups, analysis and bets are available to monthly subscribers.
Results = points bet 26860 profit +1132.47 ROI +4.22% Full details here
Monthly subs are £50 a month and can be cancelled at any time. You can sign up here.
Betting Emporium results
The detailed results page has been updated on 1st January 2023. They can be found by clicking RESULTS
If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning + £61,936 All bets have an ROI +2.91%
A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £61,936 a 1448% increase
The Road to Riches Weekend of 15th-16th April
Coming up this weekend
- Horse Racing, Over the jumps at Aintree, Chepstow and Newcastle, On the flat at Great Yarmouth and on the all-weather at Wolverhampton.
- Football, Premiership fixtures include West Ham United v Arsenal
- Snooker, the World Championship begins
- Cricket, the IPL continues
- Tennis the ATP BMW Open
- Golf the Zurich Classic of New Orleans at TPC Louisiana on the USPGA and on the DP World Tour the ISPS Handa Championship
Free Tip
IPL RCB v Delhi Capitals 11am Saturday
RCB, a perennial disappointment in IPL seasons, look like repeating the trend this year. Following three successive years of play-off appearances they are currently 1-2 after 3 games of this year’s competition having failed to defend 212 against Lucknow on Monday. For all their batting strength, the bowling attack has issues with Hazlewood absent injured all tournament and Topley injured in the first game. In their first three games only two bowlers have taken five wickets, and only two have an economy rate of less than 10 an over.
This should present an opportunity for Delhi, who are bottom of the table having lost their first four games. Delhi’s problems are in the batting department, missing Rishabh Pant through injury so few of their top six are in any form. The exception to this is David Warner, who came into this tournament in lean form and recovering from injury but in these first four games has 209 runs, the second highest run scorer in the tournament with three fifties. Only two Delhi batsmen have over 50 runs in the tournament so far and for a line up including Rossouw and Marsh that’s a poor start. Team totals of 142,162,143 to start the competition were barely competitive. 172 on Tuesday against Mumbai was better but still not enough to win.
Warner apart, who looks a rock solid favourite in the top batsman market, Axar Patel bats seven and in a team full of unattractive betting options his lower-order batting has been valuable. He struck his 182 runs at an average of 45 and a strike rate of 151.6 in IPL 2022. He began this season with 16,36 and 2 in successive innings then top scored with 54 in the fourth game, just ahead of Warner with 51.
In the Top Delhi batsman market, Warner looks very solid, Axar more speculative but over-priced.
12 points David Warner Top Delhi Capitals batsman at 23/10 Betfred, 9/4 with Bet365, William Hill
6 points Axar Patel Top Delhi Capitals batsman at 14/1 Betfred, 10/1 William Hill
Drafting
It’s just a fortnight until the 2023 NFL draft in Kansas City, which follows over a month of Free Agency, where in some cases signings and trades have altered team needs.
There are four quarterbacks set to go at the top of Round 1, Alabama's Bryce Young, Ohio State's C.J.Stroud, Florida's Anthony Richardson and Kentucky's Will Levis and if a team isn't inside the top seven picks, it's going to be hard to get one of them. T ere will be a drop-off to whoever ends up being the fifth Quarterback in the class (probably Tennessee's Hendon Hooker on Day 2.
The Carolina Panthers traded to leapfrog from the number 9 draft slot to the top of the draft. With the Texans (pick 2), Colts (pick 4) and Raiders (pick 7) likely to be looking at Quarterback teams lower down the draft have been pivoting towards contingency plans at the position. The signings if Jacoby Brissett (Commanders), Baker Mayfield (Buccaneers) and Taylor Heinicke (Falcons) are all stop-gap additions to accompany young quarterbacks already on the roster. If Sam Howell, Kyle Trask and Desmond Ridder succeed for these teams then so be it, if not these teams could be in position for the top Quarterbacks in the 2024 draft notably USC’s Caleb Williams.
After the Panthers trade the Arizona Cardinals at number 3 in the draft have a very tradeable pick and they are rumoured to have six other teams interested in moving up given the scarcity of Quarterback supply compared to demand.
Elsewhere this hasn’t been a free agency period with big deals for skill position players such as wide receivers and running backs. General managers know this is a deep draft class for these positions and it seems like they'd rather have younger and less expensive options at those positions as opposed to paying top dollar for veterans. The draft class is full of complementary options who can help out an NFL offense right away but few top tier options outside running back Bijan Robinson and wide receiver Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
A number of interior defensive linemen got big free agency deals. Daron Payne and Javon Hargreave secured $85-90m contracts whilst Dalvin Tomlinson, Dre-Mont Jones and Zach Allen all got circa $30m guaranteed. Demand is high at defensive tackle, but the lack of supply has teams bidding up contract values and it's a clear indicator of how NFL teams feel about this year's underwhelming draft class on the interior.
Teams at the end of the draft’s first round have especially focused on the offensive line in free agency. We've seen the Chiefs, Bengals and Ravens all sign blockers to lucrative deals. A big reason for that is the expectation that the top Offensive tackles will be drafted in the middle of the first round. Plus, the interior line class is below average.
For contenders picking in the Nos. 21-31 range, there's also the risk of relying on a rookie to protect your franchise quarterback, notably for example Kansas City and Cincinnati; neither front office is comfortable waiting until the draft to secure protection for Mahomes and Burrow.
StattoBets Dave Monthly Subscription - Soccer - Tennis - Darts
Stattobets write ups, analysis and bets are available to monthly subscribers.
Results = points bet 26860 profit +1132.47 ROI +4.22% Full details here
Monthly subs are £50 a month and can be cancelled at any time. You can sign up here.
Betting Emporium results
The detailed results page has been updated on 1st January 2023. They can be found by clicking RESULTS
If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning + £61,936 All bets have an ROI +2.91%
A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £61,936 a 1448% increase
The Road to Riches Weekend of 8th-9th April
Coming up this weekend
- Horse Racing On the flat at Kempton and Musselburgh, Over the jumps at Carlisle, Haydock and Newton Abbot and on the all-weather at Wolverhampton.
- Football Premiership fixtures include Liverpool v Arsenal
- Rugby Union the European Champions Cup Quarter Finals
- Cricket, the IPL continues
- Tennis the ATP US Clay Court Championships continue
- Golf the RBC Heritage tournament on the USPGA
Aintree Grand National Festival (Full Package) 13th-15th April 2023
Subscription available now, for £99 here
Free Tip
European Champions Cup Quarter Final La Rochelle v Saracens Sunday 3pm
Easter Weekend sees the Quarter Finals of the European Champions Cup:
Leinster host Leicester. The winners play Toulouse or the Sharks.
On the other side of the draw Exeter play the Stormers, the winners playing La Rochelle or Saracens.
It is that last tie that interests me from a betting perspective.
La Rochelle are the reigning champions but just crept past a depleted Gloucester at home in the last 16, behind with 2 minutes to go and eventually winning 29-26.
That said they remain a formidable opponent, sitting second in the French Top 14 and having won all four of their pool matches in this competition. Coached by Ronan O’Gara the side containing the likes of French stars Greg Alldritt and Jonathan Danty, a superb finisher in Teddy Thomas all supplemented by difference-making overseas players (the French sides operating with a much more lenient salary cap regime than the English sides) All Black Kerr-Barlow, Springbok Rhule and Australian Will Skelton formerly of Saracens.
This game is going to be a barnstormer. Saracens are top of the Gallagher Premiership again having only lost 3 of 17 games so far and three time winners of the Competition in the recent past. They have a lot of big game experience and the ability to grind games out where required, including last weekend when behind early in the last 16 at home to the Ospreys before eventually winning 35-20.
La Rochelle should be favourites at home but I expect this to be extremely close and with La Rochelle 2/5, we can play Saracens at 5/2
12 points Saracens to win at 5/2 Bet365 and Betfair Sportsbook 12/5 Paddy Power and Bet Victor and 11/5 William Hill.
Stuck
Aaron Rodgers isn’t the only top quarterback angling for a trade this offseason. In last week’s NFL owners meetings in Arizona, Lamar Jackson announced that he had requested a trade from the Baltimore Ravens during March. Jackson said he made the request because the Ravens have “not been interested in meeting my value” as negotiations over a new contract drag on. Jackson said he asked to be traded on March 2, before the Ravens placed the non-exclusive franchise tag on him on March 7.
Publicising the trade request was a significant step toward attempting to break the stalemate that Jackson and the Ravens have been stuck in since before last season. Jackson has reportedly been seeking a fully guaranteed contract worth more than the $230m over five years, the same deal that the Browns gave Deshaun Watson. He says the Ravens have offered him $133m over three years.
It’s a weird situation for Jackson and the Ravens. When healthy, Jackson has proved that he can be the most electrifying player in football. But he hasn’t been able to stay healthy of late. Over the past two seasons, he’s missed 10 games. It’s understandable that the Ravens would be hesitant to give him a record-setting contract especially when the deal he’s reportedly using as a benchmark (Watson’s) looks worse by the day. It’s equally understandable though that Jackson, who won an MVP as a 22-year-old, would want a record-setting contract hence the standoff.
Jackson is an outlier among his peers. Every other top quarterback in recent NFL history has gotten a contract extension before their rookie deal expired. Andrew Luck and Cam Newton got theirs after their fourth seasons. Watson, Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen got theirs after three. Jackson, though, had his fifth-year option exercised by the Ravens before his fourth season and then actually had to play out his option year last season. Since the advent of the rookie wage scale in 2011, only two quarterbacks (Marcus Mariota and Jameis Winston) have had to play on their fifth-year options. Neither of those players is anywhere near as good as Jackson.
The most likely outcome here is that Jackson ends up re-signing with the Ravens probably on a three-year contract, but the trade request has added a layer of uncertainty to Jackson’s future that wasn’t there a month ago. There’s a chance that he’ll end up elsewhere but Jackson has been free to sign an offer sheet with any team since Baltimore placed the non-exclusive tag on him nearly a month ago, and he still hasn’t done so. What reason is there to think that one of the teams that denied interest in Jackson after he was tagged will have a change of heart and want to pursue a trade?
Teams are reluctant, despite Jackson’s talent, for several reasons. Firstly the recent injury history, secondly the difficulty of changing their offensive systems to accommodate him and probably most importantly the severe reluctance to follow the Browns/Watson precedent and fully guarantee the contract. In terms of team building, and with possibly four potential franchise quarterbacks in the upcoming draft and at least two next year, drafting a rookie and having him on a rookie salary for five years looks more appealing than being on the hook for $200m+ now, and the knock on effects of what that means for roster construction.
StattoBets Dave Monthly Subscription - Soccer - Tennis - Darts
Stattobets write ups, analysis and bets are available to monthly subscribers.
Results = points bet 26860 profit +1132.47 ROI +4.22% Full details here
Monthly subs are £50 a month and can be cancelled at any time. You can sign up here.
Betting Emporium results
The detailed results page has been updated on 1st January 2023. They can be found by clicking RESULTS
If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning + £61,936 All bets have an ROI +2.91%
A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £61,936 a 1448% increase
The Road to Riches Weekend of 1st-2nd April
Coming up this weekend
- Horse Racing On the flat at Doncaster, Over the jumps at Stratford and Uttoxeter and on the all-weather at Chelmsford and Kempton.
- Football Premiership fixtures include Manchester City v Liverpool
- Rugby Union, the European Champions Cup last 16
- Formula One, the Australian Grand Prix
- Cricket, the IPL begins
- Tennis the ATP US Clay Court Championships and Estoril and Marrakech Opens
- Golf The Masters starts next Thursday
Aintree Grand National Festival (Full Package) 13th-15th April 2023
Subscription available now, for £99 here
Free Tip
The 2023 Masters
This year’s event sees three clear favourites: McIlroy, defending champion Scheffler and Rahm are all sub 10/1, 18/1 bar the front three.
A lot of the features as to why the Masters is a good betting heat are well known. It’s the smallest field of the four majors of only 89, invite only where a good proportion of the field such as older former champions and worldwide amateurs are highly unlikely winners. For example 20 former winners are playing, 10 of those are veteran players. Six players are amateurs. 18 are debutants incuding those amateurs (only one debutant winner since 1935!). In addition 18 LIV players are in the field, the point being that one of the major invite categories is USPGA Tour winners over the last year and those winners come from weaker fields than pre-LIV. Overall of the field of 89, we can slice it down to under 50 realistic winners by excluding those above.
We all know that length off the tee is traditionally a significant advantage. Only two of the last 20 Masters have been won by a short hitter (Mike Weir in 2003 and Zach Johnson in 2007). The course is longer again this year with alterations to two holes on the back nine and with the grass always mown against the slope it plays an effective 8,000 yards. In addition to driving stats we also all know about the treacherously quick greens, where positioning, accurate approaches and scrambling ability are all key virtues.
All this means that second shots are very important. Taken from Masters.com, ten of the last 11 Masters winners have ranked 7th or better in Greens In Regulation that season, including Scheffler (Tied 5th in the stat) last year and five of them have ranked first or second in that particular metric. Not only that, but 36% of Masters’ champions overall Strokes Gained came from approach play.
I have found two selections, and of course am writing a week out from the event so you should get better each way terms in the days before the tournament starts.
First Patrick Cantlay who has made the cut in four of his six Masters appearances with a high of T9 in 2019. 4th ranked on the OWGR he is just inside the top ten of the outright betting at 20-1. Cantlay’s Masters results weren’t too encouraging in 2021 and 2022, last year a third round 79 knocked him out of contention, though in the two years before he finished in the top 17. He has been going well in 2023 finishing in the top twenty in six of 8 tournaments with two top five finishes.
As you would expect from a top five ranked golfer he has a good all round game in the top 25 for driving distance, ranked second on strokes gained off the team and 8th strokes gained approaching the green, and in the top 50 for scrambling and putting. On the greens in regulation stat mentioned above, 5th on the tour. Looks a very solid prospect here.
Further down the betting list Corey Conners is at 66-1 after successive Masters finishes of T10, T8 and T6 over the past three years. In terms of his consistency, Conners has been a solid player over the past few months. In his last eight starts on the PGA Tour, Conners has five top-25 finishes.
He tends to struggle in his short game, but at 66-1, he’s got the makings of a speculative contender. Conners is 28th on the Greens in regulation stat.
12 points each way Patrick Cantlay 20-1 6 places 1/5 William Hill, Ladbrokes/Coral/Betfred
6 points each way Corey Conners 66-1 6 places 1/5 William Hill, Ladbrokes/Coral/Betfred
Peak Practice
Fresh off their Six Nations Grand Slam Ireland are headed to the Autumn Rugby World Cup as the World’s number one ranked team. The Six Nations has sown their squad depth and their precise and creative style of play throughout. Can they maintain their form for the next six months, with the squad having been flat-out since their 2-1 series victory in New Zealand last year, followed by Autumn International wins over South Africa and Australia. The concern could be that this excellent side might have peaked too early. Coach Andy Farrell maintains there is much more to come. There will need to be, with Ireland in the toughest of the World Cup Pools alongside South Africa and Scotland with two sides going through to the Quarter finals where France or New Zealand will await the two qualifiers.
Ireland’s only two losses since 2020 are 34-22 in Paris in last year’s Six Nations and one of the summer Tests in New Zealand, and for a side that famously has never won a World Cup Quarter-Final the path beyond that in 2023 could not be tougher.
Current ante-post odds for the World Cup have France and New Zealand 3-1 joint favourites ahead of Ireland at 4-1 and South Africa the holders at 9-2, 9-1 bar the four sides in Pools A and B.
StattoBets Dave Monthly Subscription - Soccer - Tennis - Darts
Stattobets write ups, analysis and bets are available to monthly subscribers.
Results = points bet 26860 profit +1132.47 ROI +4.22% Full details here
Monthly subs are £50 a month and can be cancelled at any time. You can sign up here.
Betting Emporium results
The detailed results page has been updated on 1st January 2023. They can be found by clicking RESULTS
If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning + £61,936 All bets have an ROI +2.91%
A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £61,936 a 1448% increase
The Road to Riches Weekend of 25th-26th March
Coming up this weekend
- Horse Racing Over the jumps at Bangor, Kelso and Newbury and on the all-weather at Lingfield and Wolverhampton.
- Football European Championship Qualifying, England v Ukraine
- Tennis the ATP Miami Open continues
- Golf The Valero Texas Open on the USPGA
Aintree Grand National Festival (Full Package) 13th-15th April 2023
Subscription available now for £99 here
Free Tip
Leicester v Bristol Gallagher Premiership Saturday 12.30pm
Leicester are third in the Premiership league table with nine wins and a draw from their 17 games and have three home games to go in the regular season, looking for a top four finish to head into the play-offs to back up their Grand Final win last year. With their international players back post Six Nations and ahead of the Champions Cup last sixteen next weekend they are one of the squads within the league with enviable depth at all positions.
Leicester have in the last month beaten Bath, Gloucester, Irish and Saracens to climb back into the top four.
Bristol meanwhile sit 7th, with seven wins so far this season and three of those seven wins have come in the last three games putting 50 points on Harlequins and 60 points on Northampton following a nervy 15-13 win at Bath, which at the time was a battle of bottom two in the league. Until this run consistency has been a huge problem all season for a flair side. They still have an outside shot at the top four.
Leicester at home are a tough proposition but with Bristol also in great form this should be a close game. Leicester are 4/11 outright and Bristol 11/5 and +7 on the handicap. With their excellent form and ability to run in tries they have a reasonable shot of the cover here
10 points Bristol +7 at Evens Bet365, 10/11 generally
Regulate
Blocking clubs from joining a breakaway European Super League will be among the powers held by English football's new independent regulator in a plan confirmed by the UK government.
Preventing historic clubs going out of business is one of the aims, as well as giving fans greater input and a new owners' and directors' test.
The main purposes of the proposed new regulator will be:
- Stopping English clubs from joining closed-shop competitions, which are judged to harm the domestic game
- Preventing a repeat of financial failings seen at numerous clubs, notably the collapses of Bury and Macclesfield
- Introducing a more stringent owners' and directors' test to protect clubs and fans
- Giving fans power to stop owners changing a club's name, badge and traditional kit colours
- Ensuring a fair distribution of money filters down the English football pyramid from the Premier League
The Premier League was understood to be wary of a regulatory body when the proposals were announced in April last year.The league says it is "vital" a regulator does not lead to any "unintended consequences" that could affect its global appeal and success.
Six English clubs were among those from across the continent that announced plans to form a European Super League in April 2021.Fans quickly demonstrated their anger a forcing the Premier League clubs to back down and apologise. The regulator will have the power to prevent English clubs from joining new competitions that do not meet a pre-determined criteria, in consultation with the FA and fans.
A new licensing system will require every club from the Premier League to the National League to prove it has a sustainable business model implemented by responsible custodians as part of an application process. If clubs are not granted a license by the regulator, they will not be allowed to compete.
The test to determine the suitability of owners and directors of English clubs has long been under scrutiny. The regulator will introduce an "enhanced" test which will operate alongside the current process implemented by the Premier League, Football League and Football Association.
The suitability of Premier League's owners' and directors' test has been criticised in the past, most recently following the Saudi Arabian-backed takeover of Newcastle.
The regulator will have backstop powers to impose a new financial settlement, which effectively means it can force the Premier League to share more money across the pyramid.
StattoBets Dave Monthly Subscription - Soccer - Tennis - Darts
Stattobets write ups, analysis and bets are available to monthly subscribers.
Results = points bet 26860 profit +1132.47 ROI +4.22% Full details here
Monthly subs are £50 a month and can be cancelled at any time. You can sign up here.
Betting Emporium results
The detailed results page has been updated on 1st January 2023. They can be found by clicking RESULTS
If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning + £61,936 All bets have an ROI +2.91%
A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £61,936 a 1448% increase
