Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

The Road to Riches returns.....

Posted on 3 Jun 2020 09:40 in Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

The Road to Riches Weekend of 6th-7th June

Welcome back everyone!

Coming up this weekend

  • Horse Racing, the Guineas meeting at Newmarket and meetings at Lingfield and Newcastle on Saturday
  • Football, the Bundesliga season continues
  • Snooker, the Championship league in Milton Keynes continues

and hopefully a whole lot more soon!


 

Newmarket Racing 3 Day Special (Fri 5th - Sat 7th June 2020)  

Neil is covering three races each day for each of the three days racing (nine write ups in total) together with details of what we are betting and why

- Coronation Cup Day Friday 5th June

- 2000 Guineas Day Saturday 6th June

- 1000 Guineas Day Sunday 7th June

To subscribe at a cost of £50 go here


Royal Ascot (Full Package) 16th - 20th June 2020

Neil will cover the whole of Royal Ascot

To subscribe at a cost of £199.99 go here

 


Free tips

None as yet. Looking every week from this point on and will probably resume when cricket and rugby do.


Coming back

After the three month COVID hiatus professional sport is resuming behind closed doors, including from the 1st June in the UK after government agreement though it remains "up to individual sports" on when it is safe to return.

Of course this will ramp up through the remainder of June, notably with the resumption of the Premier League on the 17th June, with nine/ten fixtures per team to be played in the six weeks to the end of July, followed by the FA Cup with suggestions of the Champions League to be played out in August too. The English Championship resumes on June 20th, but it remains unlikely that Leagues One and two will complete, instead the league table settling on a points per game basis. It is unclear how bookmakers will choose to settle ante-post markets in uncompleted leagues. Watch this space for news. Elsewhere in Europe it is said to be “99% likely” that Serie A resumes on 13th June and La Liga on 12th June, both awaiting final government approval.

There could be some interesting football angles to go at. In the Bundesliga at the time of writing there have been 35 matches since the resumption, and only 8 have been won by home sides which would instinctively fit with a view that without crowds home advantage dissipates.

Football aside, while other leagues have acted swiftly to cancel the season, the Gallagher Rugby Premiership today announced that the 1`5th August is their resumption date with players returning to non-contact training this week. France's governing body, the LNR, announced that the Top 14 season has been scrapped, with the aim now being to start a new season in September. The Six Nations has been mooted to complete in October with it being highly unlikely that Southern Hemisphere sides would travel across for the Autumn Internationals, and a month in the International calendar most likely therefore being free. Amongst the “anti-transmission” measures suggested for one of the sports with the most physical contact is uncontested scrums and compulsory changing of shirts at half time

England’s cricketers have resumed training, at first as individuals but now in small regional groups ahead of Test Match series against the West Indies and Pakistan from July onwards at Old Trafford and the Ageas bowl in Southampton, venues chosen for having hotels on site for players/staff to be based and tested at to avoid travel during the games.

Australia were also due to tour for a three match ODI and three match T20 series ahead of the planned T20 World cup at home in October and November. It has not been finalised if this will now take place in September or whether Australia will avoid the long-distance travel and (currently) associated Quarantine measures in place.

In horse racing Neil Channing swings back into action for the Guineas meeting this weekend and Royal Ascot in the middle of the month (see above). The Derby has been rescheduled for 4th July.

The first eight races of a shortened F1 season were announced this week, all in Europe with the first two in Austria and two at Silverstone in successive weeks at the end of July/beginning of August. Teams will work in a “bio-secure paddock” and be segregated from the general population travelling from race to race and over race weekends. A programme for the Autumn is due to follow in the coming weeks.

Stateside, discussions continue about the MLB and a shortened season for July onwards, with the league and players union at loggerheads over the format, the players wanting a 114 game season. Owners last week proposed an 82-game schedule starting in early July. There has been no announcement about the NFL where training camps and pre-season would normally take place in August ahead of a September-January season, excpet that all teams will conduct the camps at their home facilities rather than travel en masse to camps elsewhere. The long off-season at least gives some flexibility to move the season back if required. The NBA also remains absent, though there is now the possibility that the rest of the season will be played at Florida's Disney World Resort from 31 July. Thirteen Western Conference teams and nine Eastern Conference teams will contest eight games each to determine seedings for the play-offs. There is a vote later today to approve this, or not.

In Golf, The Charles Schwab Challenge, which will begin on June 11 at the Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, is the first of four events on the revised schedule announced by the PGA Tour last month. Each of the events will be played without spectators. The tour has arranged for players to be shuttled to tournaments, although it conceded there might not be enough room on those flights for an entire field. The outlook for the September Ryder Cup is unclear, likely to be postponed you would think rather than run it without crowds.

ATP Tennis’ postponement was extended until July 31st in mid- May. If that holds Tennis is expected to resume at Cincinnati Open in Ohio followed by the US Open in September. Seven days after the conclusion of the American Major, the players will have to transition to the clay-courts for the French Open, which has been re-scheduled to begin on September 27. However that all would seem to depend on the health and schedules of the airline industry given the global nature of the tour.

In Snooker, a spectator less World Championships at the Crucible has been re-arranged for 31st July-16th August.

Having written all this it has to be acknowledged that across all sport plans should be viewed as fluid. Were for example easing of lockdown measures lead to a rise in R rates and at worst a second wave (which would seem most likely in the US and UK) we would have further postponements and cancellations, but for now at least we can at least try to remember the passwords to our betting accounts!

Summary

Football. The Major Leagues

  • Bundesliga resumed
  • Premier League from 17th June
  • Serie A from 12th June
  • La Liga from 13th June
  • English Championship from 20th June
  • English lower leagues – unconfirmed
  • Ligue Un – Cancelled
  • Scottish Leagues - Cancelled

Horse Racing – Resumed this week

Rugby – 15th August resumption in England, no further dates announced eg Six Nations

Cricket – Test Series v West Indies in July

Golf – USPGA resumes next week

Tennis – Early August in the US, running to the US Open in September

F1 – 8 race European season from early July

NBA Basketball - possible resumtion 31st July

MLB - possible resumption early July

NFL - currently training camps as planned in August

Snooker: Resumed. World Championships 31st July-16th August


StattoBets Dave Monthly Subscription

Stattobets write ups, analysis and bets are available to monthly subscribers.

Covering English, Scottish and Euro Football, live currently with the Bundesliga, and Darts/Tennis 

Monthly subs are £50 a month and can be cancelled at any time. You can sign up here.

 


Betting Emporium results

The detailed results page has been updated as have the spreadsheets with the detailed bets. They can be found by clicking RESULTS

If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning + £45,054.80 All bets have an ROI +2.64%

A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £49,034.80 a 1126% increase

The Road to Riches Weekend of 14th-15th March

Posted on 13 Mar 2020 12:15 in Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

Looking ahead, it could well be that this column won’t have much sport to cover for a while, if so we will resume when normal service is restored.

Coming up this weekend

- Racing, over the jumps at Fontwell, Kempton, Newcastle and Uttoxeter and all-weather racing at Wolverhampton

- Rugby Union, the final weekend of the Six Nations, for now


Free tip

Australia v New Zealand 1nd ODI Sydney Saturday 11.30pm start

After their trip to South Africa, where they lost an ODI series 3-0 Australia now play New Zealand in a three match ODI series. This is the latest finish to an international season in Australia outside World Cups since 1979 and the Australians did look fatigued In South Africa which has attracted criticism of these as “token games”. New Zealand recently completed a clean sweep in the ODI and Test series against India.

The first two games are at the SCG, Sydney, first on Friday night followed closely by this match the day after. Australia won Friday night’s game by 71 runs

We backed Labuschagne at 6-1 in a place, 5/1 elsewhere in the 3rd ODI last weekend and he is still available at 5/1 with Bet365 and Corals here.

A reminder on Labuschagne who scored 108 off 108 balls to top score in that match. As in Test cricket, Labuschagne looked equally comfortable against pace or spin, pierced the gaps expertly, ran hard between wickets, and picked the correct moments to attack or defend.

It was not a spectacular ODI innings. Australia won’t get many of those out of Labuschagne or Smith. Achieving the spectacular will be left to the likes of Warner, Finch and Maxwell. Instead it was an assured and well-paced knock, the kind that acts as the backbone of a team innings.

In the first ODI overnight on Friday Labuschagne scored 56 behind Warner 67 and Finch 60 but still well in the hunt in this market. 5/1 continues to be a value play that we should take advantage of for as long as the price persists, I expect it won’t do for many matches more for a player who is fast becoming indispensable for Australia in all formats

10 points Marcu Labuschagne 2nd ODI Top Australian batsman 5/1 Bet365 and Coral

 


Homegrown

The off-season summer transfer window contains an added factor this August. There is currently no agreement between the FA and the Premier League on what 25-man club squads will look like post-Brexit when the transition period ends on December 31st.

The FA wants to raise the number of homegrown players in a squad from its existing level of eight to 12, with no work-permit restrictions on the other 13. The Premier League wants to stay with 8 and have the freedom to sign the remainder from wherever they wish to do so.

The FA has the governing body’s endorsement, from which the government will take its lead. The Premier League pays the players, invests heavily in developing the homegrown talent and operates the competition in which all but one of Gareth Southgate’s current squad plays every week. Both recognise that Brexit is a historic moment for the most lucrative domestic sport league in the world and the England national team..

There has to be an approach that rewards some of the richest clubs in the world for developing English talent. Premier League chief executive Richard Masters has called for a “dynamic” solution, one that “can’t just be about quotas,”  of overseas players permitted in a 25-man squad where every signing from outside the UK has to be assessed individually for their own work-permit viability. The answer will have to come from a compromise which recognises that what matters are game-time minutes for England qualified players.

Master acknowledged that a strong England team is desirable to the Premier League, and that the new system should be flexible. His opposite number at the FA, Mark Bullingham, also a recent appointment, is obliged to seize this opportunity to protect the future of the England team, on whose success or otherwise he will  primarily be judged.

The percentage of total minutes played in the Premier League by England-qualified players so far this season is just over 34%, up from the all-time low of 30% last season. The corresponding figure for this season among the big six clubs falls to 27%. The change has largely been driven by Chelsea’s transfer window embargo in the summer which forced them to play academy graduates, and the faith shown in English players by the three promoted clubs, Norwich City, Sheffield United and Aston Villa.

In Spain the national team manager can choose from a league that has 60% Spain-qualified players. In France it is 50% and Italy and Germany both have more than 40%.

The government relies on the view of the FA as the governing body over the Premier League, which may well have to adapt to new rules that oblige all of them to give opportunities to the players coming out of the academies.

 


StattoBets Dave Monthly Subscription

Stattobets write ups, analysis and bets are available to monthly subscribers.

Covering English, Scottish and Euro Football 

Plus Darts and Tennis

Monthly subs are £50 a month and can be cancelled at any time. You can sign up here.

 


Betting Emporium results

The detailed results page has been updated as have the spreadsheets with the detailed bets. They can be found by clicking RESULTS

If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning + £45,034.80 All bets have an ROI +2.64%

A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £49,034.80 a 1126% increase

 

 

The Road to Riches Weekend of 7th-8th March

Posted on 5 Mar 2020 10:58 in Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

Coming up this weekend

- Football, Premier League fixtures include Manchester United v Manchester City

- Racing, over the jumps at Ayr, Hereford and Sandown and all-weather racing at Chelmsford and Wolverhampton

- Rugby Union, the fourth weekend of the Six Nations

- Golf, The Arnold Palmer Invitational at Bay Hill and the Doha Classic

- Tennis, The BNP Paribas Open at Indian Wells next week


Cheltenham Festival (10th-13th March)

If you had bet £10 a point on all racing since we launched the website 7 years ago you would be winning £12,871. Join us for four days of write ups and bets by Neil Channing next week for £199 here


 

Free tip

South Africa v Australia 3rd ODI in Potchefstroom, 8am GMT start on Saturday

The third and final ODI in this series takes place tomorrow. South Africa are 2-0 up in the series. In the first match in Paarl South Africa defended 291 comfortably, with a Klaasen hundred in their innings. In Wednesday’s second game in Bloemfontein South Africa chased down 271 with a Malan hundred opening the innings. For a South African side that has lacked batting depth and is in a rebuilding phase, these are two potentially significant hundreds.

The South African side in this series is stronger than the side that drew recently against England

SA side stronger than side drew England particularly in the bowling ranks with Ngidi and Nortje and potentially Rabada available. Nevertheless it is unexpected to see them 2-0 up against a full strength Australian side with Starc, Cummins and Hazlewood bowling and a batting line up of Warner, Finch, Smith, Labuschagne, with Carey and Short in the side to be finishers an area post Maxwell they have had problems with.

In Potchefstroom on Saturday we should once again expect a blameless pitch and a reasonably high scoring game. In the Top Australian batsman market its no surprise to see Smith and Warner, followed by Finch at the head of affairs each at 3-1 or shorter, a combination of Smith and Warner’s class and the position of all three in the top of the order.

The value here though could be Marcus Labuschagne, available at 6/1 with Corals and 5/1 with Bet365.25 year old Labuschagne was introduced to international cricket in 2018 was then added to the Australian test side again during last Ashes series with Smith’s injury and has been a fixture in the test side ever since. In 14 tests he has 1459 runs at an average of 63. In his last nine tests he has  4 hundreds and 7 fifties and this form saw him introduced into the ODI side in the early 2020 tour of India where he scored a fifty and scored 46,56 and 41 in his three innings. So far against South Africa he scored 41 in Paarl and in the second game, a golden duck, a rare failure for a very consistent player.

He is a sporting alternative to those top of the market here at 6/1

10 points Marcus Labuschagne Top Australian batsman 3rd ODI at 6/1 Coral, 5/1 Bet365


A matter of deduction

Manchester City are now facing a Premier League points deduction as their punishment for “serious breaches” of Uefa Financial Fair Play also represents a breach of the domestic competition’s regulations.

City are ready facing the sanction of a two year Champions League ban and a 30m fine after Uefa found the club had overstated its sponsorship revenue in accounts submitted between 2012 and 2016. The potential domestic issue comes because any club has to supply true information to get a Premier League licence, and that information will have had to have matched that supplied to Uefa.

While there remains the possibility a high-priced legal battle could yet see the Champions League ban overturned, that probably won’t be the case with any Premier League punishment due to the specific situation. A points deduction would not affect any title race or see them relegated, while the Champions League race has been temporarily rendered moot.

While no one sees an expulsion from the Premier League as likely, the Football League have recently changed their rules so that any club in that situation must start again in League Two.


StattoBets Dave Joins Betting Emporium

Stattobets write ups and bets will be available to monthly subscribers.

English, Scottish and Euro Football 

Plus Australian Open Tennis starts 20th January 2020

Monthly subs are £50 pcm and can be cancelled at any time. You can sign up here.


Bookmaker reviews and advice

Getting the best price available is very important for all those who take their betting seriously.

Please open an account with all those bookmakers on the page on this link that you do not already have an account with using the links provided.

There are literally hundreds of pounds on offer from bookmakers just for signing up through Bettingemporium.com


Betting Emporium results

The detailed results page has been updated as have the spreadsheets with the detailed bets. They can be found by clicking RESULTS

If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning + £45,361 All bets have an ROI +2.78%

A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £49,361 a 1134% increase

The Road to Riches Weekend of 29th Feb - 1st March

Posted on 27 Feb 2020 16:28 in Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

Coming up this weekend

- Football, Premier League fixtures include Everton v Manchester United

- Racing, over the jumps at Doncaster, Kelso and Newbury and all-weather racing at Lingfield and Southwell

- Golf, On the USPGA The Honda Classic and on the European Tour the Honda Open

- Tennis, ATP Opens in Brazil, Chile and Dubai


Cheltenham Festival (10th-13th March)

If you had bet £10 a point on all racing since we launched the website 7 years ago you would be winning £12,871. Join us for four days of write ups and bets by Neil Channing for £199 here


 

Free tip

Fa Cup 5th Round Tuesday 3rd March

This year the fifth round of the FA Cup moves to a midweek, and with no replays.

The West Brom v Newcastle tie throws up an opportunity. West Brom are very marginal favourites at home here. Under Bilic West Brom are top of the Championship, have lost only 4 times in 35 league games and have scored 64 times in 35 games. A well organised side with some real quality they probably should be favourites against this Newcastle side. Newcastle needed a replay and extra time to get past Oxford in the last round, a piece of individual brilliance from Saint-Maximin took them through.

We all know the issues around the club, now 14th in the Premier League. They have only scored 24 goals in 27 games, with Joelinton not suiting the position he is played in as a lone striker through the middle.

The game is sandwiched between a home game against Burnley and a trip to Southampton, and I would expect rotation here with league points very much the priority. West Brom meanwhile are nine points clear of Fulham in third in the Championship with eleven games to go. A deep run in the Cup moves forward on the agenda with their league position so healthy.

10 points West Brom to beat Newcastle 17/10 Sportingbet, 13/8 BetfairSportsbook, 8/5 Betfred, Ladbrokes/Coral


F1 in 2020

The 2021 season will see the next major shake-up of F1’s regulations which often means in such seasons that a driver from the team that gets on top of the new regulations quickest will come out on top that season. In 2020 it was previously considered that with the cars likely to be subtle evolutions of their 2019 predecessors we should have anticipated a real driver-focused battle for the championship as a new generation of star drivers and veterans in Hamilton and Vettel with ten combined championships are in the leading three teams.

As it stands the Mercedes technological evolution of a DAS (Dual-Axis Steering) system which allows a driver to change the ‘toe angle’ of the front wheels into corners and on the straights by pushing and pulling on the steering wheel, rather than just moving it sideways is being viewed as a potential game-changer  for this season. How quickly rivals might be able to copy it and whether they might protest after the opening race remain lively topics of conversation. 

All three of Ferrari, Mercedes and Red Bull showed in the latter half of 2019 that they could win races, with five out of the six drivers from those teams taking victories in that period. With the prospect of another in-team Ferrari battle between LeClerc and Vettel likely in a car that was excellent but erratic last season and Verstappen becoming a consistent winner there is at least a realistic prospect of a two or more driver battle for the drivers’ championship, forcing a title decider at the finale in Abu Dhabi for the first time since 2016.

By mid-season 2020 driver market could be very entertaining. Sebastian Vettel’s contract is up at the end of the season at Ferrari. So too is Max Verstappen’s at Red Bull, as well as both Hamilton’s and Bottas’ at Mercedes. In fact, the futures of just three drivers – Esteban Ocon, Charles Leclerc and Sergio Perez – are set in stone beyond the end of 2020. The arrival of the 2021 regulations, then, could bring some potentially fascinating driver changes with them as well, as well as furthering existing rumours of Mercedes’ future in the sport.

Below the top tier of drivers it will be a season in which the likes of George Russell, Lando Norris and Alex Albon develop further. Norris and Albon should find themselves on podiums through the season.

Meanwhile the season sees a first time visit to Vietnam and a return to the Dutch coastal track of Zandvoort whilst already the China GP has been postponed due to the coronavirus.

Part sport, part soap-opera, 2020 sets up to be a controversial season.


StattoBets Dave Joins Betting Emporium

Stattobets write ups and bets will be available to monthly subscribers.

English, Scottish and Euro Football 

Plus Australian Open Tennis starts 20th January 2020

Monthly subs are £50 pcm and can be cancelled at any time. You can sign up here.


Bookmaker reviews and advice

Getting the best price available is very important for all those who take their betting seriously.

Please open an account with all those bookmakers on the page on this link that you do not already have an account with using the links provided.

There are literally hundreds of pounds on offer from bookmakers just for signing up through Bettingemporium.com


Betting Emporium results

The detailed results page has been updated as have the spreadsheets with the detailed bets. They can be found by clicking RESULTS

If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning + £45,361 All bets have an ROI +2.78%

A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £49,361 a 1134% increase

 

 

 

The Road to Riches Weekend of 22nd-23rd February

Posted on 21 Feb 2020 10:41 in Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

Coming up this weekend

- Football, Premier League fixtures include Chelsea v Tottenham

- Racing, over the jumps at Chepstow, Kempton and Newcastle and all-weather racing at Chelmsford and Lingfield

- Rugby Union, the third weekend of the Six Nations

- Golf, The WGC-Mexico Championship

- Tennis, ATP Opens in Brazil, Chile and Dubai


Cheltenham Festival (10th-13th March)

If you had bet £10 a point on all racing since we launched the website 7 years ago you would be winning £12,871. Join us for four days of write ups and bets by Neil Channing for £199 here


 

Free tip

The Democratic Presidential Nomination by Neil Channing

Quite a few weeks ago I bet Bernie Sanders to become the next president, not simply because I would like that to happen, just really because I felt like Donald Trump would relish the chance to pitch himself against an older version of Hillary Clinton, in Joe Biden, who he could paint as a safe establishment candidate and I felt that the younger centrist candidates like Amy and Mayor Pete were unlikely to break through with the hispanic and African American voters. I thought Bernie would be the person Trump would least want to fight and polling between Trump and the possible Democratic candidates supported that. I made a very conscious decision not to bet him to win the candidacy though as I was very aware that the Democrat Party are not at all keen on Bernie being their representative and I felt like dirty tricks could intervene.
 
 This week I had a look at both markets on Betfair and I was shocked to see that with 49 possible candidates, but only six less than 150/1 the race to be the Democratic nominee was priced to around 95%. If you consider that a lot of the 49 who are currently at 1000/1 should probably be even bigger than that and that the overround on the six is 93% you have to ask what is the market considering that we may not be? Is it really a seven or eight percent chance that a totally new person who isn't in the 49 comes in and wins? It could be that some of the 49 are too big in price and it ought to warn us away from laying any of them. It feels to me like we ought to try and find a bet.
 
 A couple of weeks ago Bernie and Mayor Pete got the Iowa delegates after a total cock-up with the counting. Last week Bernie won New Hampshire which he was 1/4 to do and he is now 1/8 to win Nevada this weekend. The combination of these early results and some good national polling has meant he is now a lot shorter in all other states than he was a couple of weeks ago. In Nevada he was odds against a few weeks ago and now he is 1/8 and in South Carolina, a Biden stronghold, Bernie is now joint favourite at 11/10 whereas Biden was 1/3 prior to Iowa. Plenty of the other States don't really have proper betting markets but in the 17 that vote quite early, (14 of which on Tuesday 3rd March or "Super Tuesday"), Bernie is predicted to win 13 of them by Nate Silver and his prediction site 538. Lots of polling in those early states would make our man a big odds on favourite and in crucial state California a recent poll had him on 26 with Michael Bloomberg at 14% and others further behind. That is key because California is the state which gives you the most delegates to take to conference and people that dont beat 15% there get zero.
 
 The way you win this race is you pick up delegates in each state and carry them with you to the July conference. If you come to the conference with more than 50% of those delegates you win. Normally the many candidates start to whittle down a bit quicker than they have this time round. After Iowa and New Hampshire people start to do what Andrew Yang did and have a look at the picture and drop out if they don't see a way they can win. This time is different because the centrists like Amy Klobuchar, Pete Buttigieg and Joe Biden are desperate to stop the left wing candidate Bernie Sanders and the more centre-left Elizabeth Warren also seems keen to stay in and try and attack Sanders, possibly positioning herself for a VP spot with one of the three. Michael Bloomberg is the new spanner in the works who entered when it became clear that Joe Biden just didn't seem to appeal to voters. He is currently suggesting the three centrists drop out while they suggest he does. What they are doing is splitting the vote and helping Sanders to win. In states that do caucases like Nevada, each precinct meets in little groups and argues the merits of their candidate before reporting in to the party state-wide. If a candidate fails to reach a certain threshold their votes don't count and the splitting of the votes makes that more likely.
 
 If we get to July and nobody has 50% of the delegates then we have what is called a "brokered convention" which hasn't happened since 1952. There is a Betfair market on whether this might happen which makes it a slight favourite to do. I'm not sure I agree with that but even if it does happen there is an assumption that backroom deals and "super-delegates" will make sure Sanders can't win. That is certainly possible but not an absolute given. I think if we back him at around evens we are getting the chance he gets the 50% which I think happens way more than half the time and we also get the shot that he gets the most without getting to 50% and he still wins which has some chance.
 
 When Bernie Sanders wins Nevada this weekend and goes on to win big on Super Tuesday takling places like Massachusetts, Texas and California as well as a group of smaller states his price will collapse to maybe 1/3 and surely some of the "dead wood" will have to drop out. We may look back in just two weeks time and say that it was incredible that he was evens at this stage. I think he is a brilliant bet so I'm going to have my biggest ever stake since we started Betting Emporium.
 
 I appreciate that it means tieing money up until July but the price may well collapse on March the 3rd so you could close then if you like. You may also be aware that this is the candidate that I would vote for and who I agree with the most but I can assure you that hasn't changed my view of the bet...it just means I've thought about it more than most people.
 

 I'm having 44 Points WIN Bernie Sanders to get the Democratic Nomination at Evens with a couple of firms but mainly on the Betfair exchange where there is currently over £30,000 waiting for us.

 


Comeback

Through three quarters of the Superbowl the Chiefs had been outgained in yards 292–206 by the 49ers. After each team had a series in the fourth quarter, and Kansas City took over at its own 17 with 8:53 left, that count was 314–237.

San Franciso’s vaunted rookie pass rusher  Nick Bosa was leading a defensive line that was get ing the better of the Chiefs. Jimmy Garoppolo had outplayed Patrick Mahomes. Up 20–10, the Niners were in great shape.

After a review overturned a Tyreek Hill catch on a second down with 7:13 left, the Chiefs found themselves in third-and-15 the critical play of the game. The Chiefs repeated an unsuccessful play from the second quarter. This time Hill caught the pass for 44 yards and a first down, the start of  three offensive series during which the Chiefs gained 175 yards and three touchdowns to turn a 20-10 deficit into a 31-20 win

 

The Chiefs overcame at least 10-point deficits in all three of their playoff games to win by at least 10 points. That's the benefit of having a nuclear weapon at quarterback. This season alone Mahomes was 5-0 when trailing by double digits. In his Hall of fame career to make a comparison Kurt Warner was 2-44 when his team trailed by double digits.

It looks like we have seen the development of the next long term league superstar in Patrick Mahomes’ first two years in the league.


StattoBets Dave Joins Betting Emporium

Stattobets write ups and bets will be available to monthly subscribers.

English, Scottish and Euro Football 

Monthly subs are £50 pcm and can be cancelled at any time. You can sign up here.


Bookmaker reviews and advice

Getting the best price available is very important for all those who take their betting seriously.

Please open an account with all those bookmakers on the page on this link that you do not already have an account with using the links provided.

There are literally hundreds of pounds on offer from bookmakers just for signing up through Bettingemporium.com


Betting Emporium results

The detailed results page has been updated as have the spreadsheets with the detailed bets. They can be found by clicking RESULTS

If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning + £45,361 All bets have an ROI +2.78%

A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £49,361 a 1134% increase

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