Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

The Road to Riches Weekend of 9th-10th September

Posted on 7 Sep 2023 11:38 in Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

Coming up this weekend

 

  • Horse Racing, On the flat at Ascot, Haydock, Kempton and Thirsk on the all-weather at Wolverhampton and over the jumps at Stratford.
  • Football, European Championship Qualifying including Ukraine v England.
  • Rugby Union, the Rugby World Cup starts.
  • NFL, the new season starts.
  • Cricket, the Second ODI between England and New Zealand in Southampton.
  • Tennis the Davis Cup Finals.
  • Golf the Fortinet Championship on the USPGA and the BMW PGA Championship the DP World Tour

2023 NFL Season

The package covering all 18 weeks of the regular season begins this week and costs £99.The season ante-post write up is live now for subscribers here and the Week 1 write up is live today.


The Rugby World Cup

The Betting Emporium package is available now costing £50. The first write-up, including all the outright, pool and player markets is available now to subscribers here and the write-up for the matches over the first weekend is now live.

Previous Rugby World Cup Results 2015 +112 points ROI 28% 2019 +122 points ROI 47%


Free Tip

Cricket 2nd ODI England v New Zealand 11am Sunday Southampton

This is the second game of a four match ODI series following the drawn T20 series earlier this month, a warm-up for the 50 over World Cup in India starting on 5th October where England are defending champions. Current ODI world rankings have New Zealand 4th and England 5th, and the two play each other in their first game of the World Cup in Ahmedabad.

The England squad for this series is that for the World Cup, where the provisional squad had a major controversy with the surprising omission of Harry Brook, and the return of Ben Stokes from ODI retirement probably as a batter only a partial cause of the top six logjam. Brooks has now been added to the squad for this series and I would expect to ultimately be in the World Cup Squad.

The probable aim of the team selection in India, with games to be played in places like Lucknow and in the far north at Dharamsala, will be to support Rashid with another couple of spinning options in Livingstone and Moeen but the selection of six seam options, albeit three of them via all-rounders looks a bit top heavy. We’ll see if the final squad has any adjustments. It will be interesting to see if these games are played on any used pitches to give practice for sub-continent conditions.

New Zealand are captained by Trent Boult and have their top batsman Kane Williamson just coming back from a serious injury suffered at the start of the IPL. As we saw in the T20 series, and in a lot of recent World Cups (reached the last four or better in six of the last eight editions) they are not to be under-estimated in short form cricket. Many of their players are experienced franchise competitors worldwide.

I am writing before the result of the first ODI at Cardiff on Friday is known. For that game England selected Brook as opener (a pre-cursor of things to come?) with Roy and Bairstow injured and a bowling attack of Willey/Topley/Woakes/Atkinson and Rashid.

Looking at England player markets, and aware that rotation across the squad will be the name of the game throughout this warm-up series once again the England batting market is congested. Root as the "glue" around which the dashers play is probably the most reasonable and consistent option at around 7/2.

In the bowling market Adil Rashid is a veteran of 125 ODIs and England’s front-line spinner. With 183 wickets in the international format at under a run a ball he is assured of his full complement of overs here and his variations give him a wicket taking potential that the other part-time spin options should lack. At around 7/2 with pitches baked by a week of solid sunshine, he is a solid bet in this market

10 points Adil Rashid top England wicket-taker at 7/2* with William Hill and Bet365. (*first ODI price, will update when the second game prices go up)


The Splits

In the recent Rugby World Cup Warm Up matches South Africa fielded a substitutes bench against the All Blacks almost entirely consisting of forwards in a 7-1 split, with only one back.

The original plan was to have a 6-2 split on their bench but a late withdrawal from Willie le Roux saw the South Africans risk it with a very rare 7-1 split.

The risk in using such a forward-dominated bench lies in potential problems if there is more than one injury within the starting back line. This was not the case against New Zealand as the team maximised the reward of the tactic by changing their forward pack in the second half. The second pack, known as the “Bomb Squad” caused carnage in the New Zealand game against a side already down to 14 men.

As of now, there is no restriction regarding how teams must split forwards and backs on their benches. South Africa’s 2019 World Cup victory was powered by a then rare 6-2 split. Now more teams such as France, Scotland, Australia and New Zealand have deployed the tactic this year.

A generation ago the multi-player bench came in for safety reasons to ensure players didn’t come on and play in positions they weren’t trained for particularly in the front row of the scrum. However strategies have evolved and teams most usually go for a 5-3 split  calculating the risk of injury/fatigue in certain positions. A partial move to 6-2 was teams like South Africa playing to their strengths.

The potential safety angle aside, 7-1 is a recently rare innovation in rugby. Many defensive patterns have been imported from Rugby League and attacking patterns in many teams are moribund. In a World Cup, particularly in the knock-out stages the risk of injuries mid-game in the backs makes a 7-1 split unlikely.

However the advent of the “hybrid” player increases the multi-skilled player’s opportunity to play at the highest level for their country. For example South Africa flanker Kwagga Smith has played hundreds of sevens games and could line up at winger whilst France’s Sekou Macalou can play flanker or winger.


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Betting Emporium results

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A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £71,176 a 1678% increase 

 

 

 

 

The Road to Riches Weekend of 2nd-3rd September

Posted on 31 Aug 2023 09:20 in Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

Coming up this weekend

  • Horse Racing, On the flat at Beverley, Chester and Sandown, on the all-weather at Chelmsford City and Wolverhampton and over the jumps at Newton Abbot
  • Football, the Premier League fixtures include Arsenal v Manchester United.
  • Cricket, the Second T20I between England and New Zealand in Birmingham.
  • Rugby Union, the Rugby World Cup starts next week
  • Formula One, the Italian Grand Prix
  • Tennis the US Open continues.
  • Golf  the Irish Open on the DP World Tour

2023 NFL Season

The package covering all 18 weeks of the regular season begins in early September and costs £99.The season ante-post write up is live now for subscribers here .


The Rugby World Cup

The Betting Emporium package is available now costing £50. The first write-up, including all the outright, pool and player markets is available now to subscribers here.

Previous Rugby World Cup Results 2015 +112 points ROI 28% 2019 +122 points ROI 47%


Free Tip

Cricket T20 International England v New Zealand Friday 6pm Old Trafford

This is the second game of a four match T20I series ahead of a four match ODI series, itself a warm-up for the 50 over World Cup in India in October. There is also a T20 World Cup next year.

In the ever more crowded international schedule including a proliferation of new franchise tournaments across the world, England last played limited overs cricket in February in Bangladesh, winning an ODI series 2-1 but losing the T20s 3-0. New Zealand meanwhile lost an ODI series to Pakistan 4-1 but won the T20 series 2-1.

The England squad contains a deep and strong batting line up with Buttler, Bairstow, Brook, Malan, Roy, Livingstone and Jacks plus all-rounders Moeen and Sam Curran all now successful franchise players in the format. In the first game at Durham the “locks” in the 50 over team were batting in the positions they are expected to in the World Cup, namely Bairstow opening, Buttler 5, Moeen 6 and Livingstone 7

The bowling attack selected in the squad is where there is experimentation with Gus Atkinson, Brydon Carse and Luke Wood all new or relatively new to international cricket as the selectors look to broaden the talent pool ahead of next Summer’s big tournament.

New Zealand’s squad meanwhile is experienced. Players like Finn Allen, Devon Conway (a big success opening the batting for CSK when winning the IPL this year), Glenn Phillips, Daryl Mitchell and Jimmy Neesham are all familiar to domestic cricket watchers this season and the bowling line up containing Henry, Milne and Santner alongside captain Tim Southee is well-rounded.

In the first game at Durham on Wednesday England restricted New Zealand to 139 on a slow pitch and won with six overs to spare by seven wickets.

Looking at England player markets for the first two games, the top batsman market was a really tough one. England bat down to 8 (Sam Curran, who bats 4 or 5 in other T20 teams) and I decided it was to be avoided.

The top bowler market has less depth, five front line bowlers are being supported by part-time spinners Livingstone and Jacks. Whilst we should expect some team rotation through a four match series, I am not sure there will be too many changes to an impressive winning team for the second game.

In the first game Luke Wood and Curran took the new ball, Brydon Carse was first change and Rashid and Ali bowled a full complement on a friendly pitch for them

Prices for the second game, from William Hill, are:

Atkinson 100/30

Curran 100/30

Jordan 100/30

Wood 7/2

Carse 9/2

Ahmed 5/1

Moeen 5/1

Atkinson, Jordan and Ahmed are currently in reserve. It was notable in the recent Hundred tournament how few wickets Sam Curran took, 6 in 9 games this despite a new ball that swung in the early overs throughout the tournament (conjecture has it that the white balls in use this summer have a more pronounced seam than normally). Luke Wood meanwhile, a fellow left arm seamer, has taken 15 wickets inside the Powerplay across the T20 Blast and Hundred this year, only two players across both competitions have taken more. Wood backed this up with 3-37 in the first T20I recovering despite being hit for three sixes in the first over of the match

At 7/2 he’s decent value to back that up here

10 points Luke Wood Top England bowler 2nd T20I v New Zealand 4/1 Betfair Sportsbook and Paddy Power, 7/2 William Hill 100/30 Bet365

 


Discipline

In the recent Rugby World Cup Warm Up Match at Twickenham against Wales Owen Farrell was sent off at Twickenham for driving his shoulder into the head of an opponent. The England captain initially avoided a ban after the team’s lawyer argued successfully in a virtual disciplinary hearing that there had been enough mitigation for the red card to be downgraded to yellow, because of the “sudden” movement of the ball-carrier.

World Rugby then took the rare step of appealing its own disciplinary panel’s decision. The fresh appeal panel ruled that Farrell's failure to attempt to wrap his arm in the tackle meant the foul play review officer was correct in his decision to upgrade to a red card during the match. The panel therefore deemed the tackle was "always illegal", and no mitigation can be applied to a tackle that is "always illegal" under World Rugby's head contact process.

For more than four years, World Rugby has been committed to a policy of trying to force players to tackle lower through the use of red cards, bans and, more recently, a tackle education programme. It does not appear to be working.

The concussion rate continues to rise and defenders continue to risk these rugby league-style tackles, which are deemed by World Rugby to be the most dangerous in the game but are not illegal.

Players look to tackle upright and with force for four reasons: to make a dominant impact, to target the ball in the hope of ripping it clear, to be in the best position to execute a turnover once the ball-carrier is on the ground and to prevent off-loads.

Players understand the safety concerns but if they don’t defend that way they risk being dropped. The players therefore find themselves caught between what the game demands of them on the field to win matches and what the lawmakers demand of them to make the sport appear safer.

Farrell addressed the issue during the Premiership season

“If you are constantly being passive you probably won’t get picked next week. It’s a fine line and I don’t think people quite understand when it gets slowed down on TV how quick those decisions are on the field.”

Players sent off with a first offence can attend World Rugby’s tackle school the equivalent of a speed awareness course. World Rugby argues that the programme has a 5% reoffending rate, but it is seen elsewhere as no more than a tick-box exercise that has no hope of rectifying deep-seated technical issues.

World Rugby has to be aware that the Farrell affair has damaged the sport’s credibility. It would be a surprise if World Rugby did not eventually react by pushing through a lower tackle height in professional rugby.


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Betting Emporium results

The detailed results page has been updated on 1st July 2023. They can be found by clicking RESULTS

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A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £71,176 a 1678% increase 

 

 

 

 

The Road to Riches Weekend of 26th-27th August

Posted on 24 Aug 2023 11:47 in Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

Coming up this weekend

  • Horse Racing, On the flat at Goodwood, Newmarket, Redcar, Windsor and York and over the jumps at Cartmel
  • Football, the Premier League fixtures include Newcastle United v Liverpool.
  • Cricket, the Hundred concludes, the Eliminator on Saturday and the final on Sunday.
  • Rugby Union, the final 2023 Rugby World Cup Warm up matches
  • Formula One, the Dutch Grand Prix
  • Tennis the US Open begins.
  • Golf the European Masters on the DP World Tour

2023 NFL Season

The package covering all 18 weeks of the regular season begins in early September and costs £99. An article describing what to expect from the package has been published, free to read here.  The season ante-post write up will be live on 28th August.


Free Tip

Rugby World Cup Warm Up New Zealand v South Africa 7.30pm Friday at Twickenham

A final warm up match ahead of the start of the Rugby World Cup on 9th December where these two teams are in the same half of the draw and potential Quarter final opponents.

New Zealand were in the relative doldrums a year ago, including a home series loss to Ireland and a defeat to Argentina but prospects have improved dramatically this year particularly up front where a new forwards coach has got the pack really humming. They were dominant during the recent rugby Championship and their success in that truncated tournament propelled them back to World Cup favouritism ahead of France.

South Africa lost 35-20 in Auckland over the summer, the game lost in the first 20 minutes when they went 17-0 down before achieving parity in the remainder of the game. Their traditional strength up front is a given but in the absence of first choice fly half Handre Pollard for the World cup their attacking approach may have to broaden as they don’t have another game controller/kicker like him.

As it is, pending this match, South Africa go into the World Cup having not beaten a top four ranked side in more than 12 months though these are usually gritty narrow losses including 19-16 in Ireland and 30-26 in France. If they are peaking for the major tournament at the end of this four-year cycle, they are leaving it late.

Supporters will say that South Africa won the 2019 World Cup even though New Zealand were pre-tournament favourites and England were widely tipped to win the final.

What some people often forget, though, is that they had beaten the All Blacks in New Zealand prior to that World Cup, had won the 2019 Rugby Championship a couple of months before the tournament in Japan and had also beaten England in a three-Test series staged in 2018.

All that said South Africa have picked a strong line up here, and all the noises are that this is being treated as a major one-off test match and thoughts of the World Cup only begin after the match.

New Zealand are just five point favourites to win the match, which would seem a skinny spread given they have picked a powerful team pretty close to first choice and their recent supremacy over the same opponents in the Rugby Championship. They have to be supported on such terms given everything we’ve seen from the two sides recently.

11 points New Zealand -5 points at 10/11 generally

 

The Rugby World Cup Betting Emporium package is available now costing £50. The first write-up, including all the outright, pool and player markets will be available on Tuesday 29th August and will be available to subscribers here.

Previous Rugby World Cup Results 2015 +112 points ROI 28% 2019 +122 points ROI 47%

 


The Jury is Out

This weekend sees the conclusion of the 2023 Hundred competition, the third edition of the event. Once against this year the women’s Hundred has been a big success providing game by game exposure including on terrestrial television and following on from an exciting multi-format Ashes earlier in the summer.

The men’s tournament has had better games than last year where the top few sides were way ahead of the rest of the tournament. Despite mixed weather, good pitches have ensured some high scoring games including a score over 200. Ticket sales have been very good. Average attendance for men’s matches is at over 80% of capacity.

The men’s tournament has been hit with the withdrawal of big-name players, for whom the proliferation of global franchise leagues is lucrative but comes at a cost of increased injuries. It does not feature any of Australia’s Ashes players who mostly did not even enter the draft. There are no Indian players and there are no signs that the Board of Control for Cricket in India is going to let them participate. The situation is likely to get worse rather than better in the future, with other leagues offering much bigger value deals than the £125,000 top contract in the Hundred. The new American Major League Cricket competition is set to expand and clash with the Hundred directly, and is offering contracts of a much higher value thanks to backing from the IPL and private investment.

The tournament is not making any significant profit and the knock-on effect is that the ECB will not be able to hike the value of the player contracts and will not be able to compete with richer leagues. The 100-ball format has not been picked up anywhere else in the world meaning that the value of the intellectual property is limited and unless the ECB decides to sell off either the competition or the teams to private investors, it is hard to see how it will have the financial clout to compete with other franchises around the world.

The impact of the Hundred on the rest of domestic cricket remains large. Taking up the whole of August the Ashes were squeezed into the six weeks previous and the 300 men’s professional players without a Hundred contract have been playing in a  50 over competition that for many of the counties who have lost up to 12 players to the Hundred is relegated to development status. The ten counties that do not have a Hundred team at their ground feel marginalised and cannot access to the revenue that the eight host grounds command and they argue it is increasing the gap between the wealthier counties and the rest.

The future remains in doubt. Upcoming discussions in the autumn about the domestic schedule are mooted to include options such as ending both the T20 Blast and the Hundred and replacing them with a T20 competition which involves all of the 18 counties, although probably not playing under county names.

There is no doubt that the Hundred is bringing in new audiences to the game but it is unclear yet if those who come to the tournament as their first experience of cricket then go on to fall in love with the game. There remains outright hostility from many established cricket fans, particularly County Members and those with an affinity to existing teams.

The Jury is still very much out.


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Betting Emporium results

The detailed results page has been updated on 1st July 2023. They can be found by clicking RESULTS

If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning + £67,126 All bets have an ROI +3.05%

A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £71,176 a 1678% increase 

 

 

 

 

The Road to Riches Weekend of 19th-20th August

Posted on 17 Aug 2023 08:47 in Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

Coming up this weekend

  • Horse Racing, On the flat at Ascot, Ayr, Haydock, Lingfield, Newmarket and Redcar
  • Football, the Premier League fixtures include Manchester City v Newcastle United
  • Cricket, the Hundred continues.
  • Rugby Union, 2023 Rugby World Cup Warm up matches
  • Tennis US Open Qualification.
  • Golf the Tour Championship on the USPGA and the Czech Masters on the DP World Tour

York Ebor Festival

We have just added the York Ebor Festival - Full Package (23rd - 26th August 2023) to our homepage, the cost for all of Neil Channing’s write-ups is £125 here 


2023 NFL Season

The package covering all 18 weeks of the regular season begins in early September and costs £99. An article describing what to expect from the package has been published, free to read here  The season ante-post write up will be live on 28th August.


Rugby World Cup

The 2023 Rugby World Cup in France begins in September. The package will cost just £50 and is available here  The tournament write-up including all available markets will be available on 29th August.


Free Tip

The Hundred: Southern Brave v Oval Invincibles 6pm, Southampton

We are now well into the second half of the group stages of the Hundred, with a reminder that the  group winner goes straight through to the Lords final, whilst second and third place finishers play in an eliminator match for the right to meet them.

The Oval Invincibles are currently top of the table, with four wins and a tie from their six matches.  Here they play the Southern Brave with 7 points including 3 wins from their six matches and currently in second place in the table.

The squad looks to have all bases covered and unlike the first two Hundreds is delivering on their strength on paper. The top order contains big hitting batsmen in Jacks, Roy and Klaasan. Sam Curran in the primary all-rounder whilst the bowling ranks contain the pace of Australian Spencer Johnson and England hopeful Gus Atkinson supported by the leg spin of Zampa (who has replaced Narine for the second half of the tournament with Narine off to the CPL) and Sowter.

The side suffered a blow last Sunday when they lost the (at the time) top scoring batsman Jordan Cox, with three fifties in the tournament so far, to a broken finger and both Tom Curran and Atkinson have missed games with minor injuries.

Tuesday’s team in their high scoring win against the London Spirit was as follows

Jacks

Roy

Klaasen

S Curran

Billings

Muyeye

Whiteley

Zampa

Chappell

S Johnson

Sowter

Expecting Atkinson and Tom Curran to return for this game in Southampton.

There is often an opportunity in the top batsman market, with fewer realistic options in a short 100 ball innings to top score bar a top order collapse.

The Jacks and Roy opening combination is somewhat “boom or bust”. Jacks is the second top scorer in the competition as I write with 169 runs in 6 innings, Roy has 107 in 6.

The top scorer in the competition is now Heinrich Klaasen with 171 runs now promoted to three in the absence of Cox. A really powerful striker he has a strike rate of 180 in the competition and has hit 17 sixes. With one of the openers often out early (many of the opening batsmen in the competition are proving vulnerable to exaggerated swing in the early powerplay overs) Klaasen is a decent prospect in the Oval Invincibles Top batsman market

10 points Heinrich Klaasen top Oval Invincibles scorer at 11/4 with Bet365, more firms to follow before Saturday

 


Adapting

Recently a number of NFL running backs held a Zoom meeting to consider options to address their difficulties in securing acceptable non-rookie contracts. After that meeting Cleveland Browns star Nick Chubb admitted to reporters, “Right now, there’s really nothing we can do.” It’s a problem years in the making, intensifying because running back injuries keep increasing and longevity of elite play at the position keeps shrinking in a game that gets faster and more violent every year.

Teams avoid committing too much to players who don’t age well but these teams are helped by the rookie wage scale which puts severe restrictions on the earning potential of running backs when they are healthiest, only to deny the best of them top-of-the-market money in their second contracts after they  outperformed their initial deals.

There is a general belief in the NFL era of a high volume of passing and franchise Quarterbacks that the running back has lost value and that is most obvious among the big bruising “bell-cow” runners who will carry the ball 300 times a season of which there are fewer in the league each year, in part because fewer teams are willing to play a brand of football amenable to their style and in part because the college game is producing fewer “Derrick Henry”’s. However the importance of the run game is already in partial recovery as offenses adjust to defenses that have tailored their personnel to play better in space, creating the blossoming era of the so-called running back-wide receiver hybrid.

Lines have blurred at many positions already: outside linebacker and safety; wide receiver and tight end; defensive end and tackle; defensive end and linebacker. There are attempts to erase the mark dividing running back and wide receiver for example a Deebo Samuel here, a Christian McCaffrey there.

Interestingly, after the San Francisco 49ers traded for McCaffrey last season and put him with Samuel and all their versatile talent, they turned into a machine that a 262nd draft pick quarterback Brock Purdy could lead deep into the play-offs.

In the 2023 NFL draft running backs Bijan Robinson and Jahmyr Gibbs were drafted high, Robinson drafted eight to the Atlanta Falcons. The Detroit Lions drafted Gibbs at twelve. Whereas a player like Derrick Henry is a Hummer,  Robinson and Gibbs are convertibles. Robinson has the ability to play slot receiver. The Falcons are experimenting with using him at multiple positions., The Lions plan to line Gibbs up at receiver too.

There’s a chance that Robinson and Gibbs could catch passes down the field and line up anywhere on any given play. As the sport changes, with more sophisticated passing games and players who are taught to be versatile at early ages, perhaps they will signal the next phase of running back versatility.

When asked once what position he plays, Deebo Samuel said “wide back” meaning “a wide receiver playing running back.” And he had a contentious contract dispute a year ago but the system eventually rewarded him with a three-year extension worth more than $71m.

Maybe there’s really nothing the running back can do. However in the face of the economics of the sport, athletes are already adapting.

 


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Results = points bet 34780 profit +1506.90 ROI +4.33% Full details here

Monthly subs are £50 a month and can be cancelled at any time. You can sign up here


Betting Emporium results

The detailed results page has been updated on 1st July 2023. They can be found by clicking RESULTS

If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning + £67,126 All bets have an ROI +3.05%

A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £71,176 a 1678% increase 

 

 

 

The Road to Riches Weekend of 12th-13th August

Posted on 11 Aug 2023 08:56 in Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

Coming up this weekend

  • Horse Racing, On the flat at Ascot, Ayr, Haydock, Lingfield, Newmarket and Redcar
  • Football, the start of the Premier League season including Chelsea v Liverpool
  • Cricket, the Hundred continues.
  • Rugby Union, 2023 Rugby World Cup Warm up matches
  • Tennis ATP Winston-Salem Open.
  • Golf the BMW Championship on the USPGA and the ISPS Handa World Invitational on the DP World Tour

York Ebor Festival

We have just added the York Ebor Festival - Full Package (23rd - 26th August 2023) to our homepage, the cost for all of Neil Channing’s write-ups is £125 here


2023 NFL Season

The package covering all 18 weeks of the regular season begins in early September and costs £99. An article describing what to expect from the package has been published, free to read here  and a full ante-post preview will be available before the end of the month


Rugby World Cup

The 2023 Rugby World Cup in France begins in September. The package will cost just £50 and is available here with the tournament preview due to be live before the end of August


Free Tip

The Hundred: Welsh Fire v Southern Brave 6pm Saturday, Cardiff

The Welsh Fire were the worst performing of the Hundred franchises in the first two years of the competition, finishing 7th in 2021 and 8th  and last in 2022 losing all their games. This off-season they appointed a new coaching team led by Mike Hussey and adopted a new approach to squad construction with data led analysis of players aimed at providing value for money in the player auction process designed to make the new franchise competitive. The early signs of this change in process are encouraging.

So far this season they beat the Manchester Originals in game one, narrowly lost to the Southern Brave in game 2 with a sensational Chris Jordan innings proving a match-winner for the side based in Southampton, tied at the Oval Invincibles in game 3 before beating Birmingham Phoenix comfortably on Thursday night to go level on points at the top of the table.

The most dramatic transformation within the side has come in the bowling line up, with two key new recruits the Pakistani pair left armer Shaheen Afridi, who takes opening powerplay overs and a set at the death, and Haris Rauf. They are supported short form “value” signings from domestic cricket David Willey, David Payne and Ben Green.

Shaheen Afridi is one of the best fast bowlers in world cricket, and in the short format captained Lahore Qalanders to PSL titles in 2022 and 2023. Extremely tall and quick, he has a brilliant swinging white ball yorker that has taken early wickets in each of Welsh Fire’s first three games of this competition. At the time of writing he is the joint top wicket taker in the competition with 6 in 4 matches and has only conceded 88 runs in 70 balls too

This is his (and Rauf’s) penultimate game in the competition before returning to action for the Pakistan national team. As yet, there has been no sign of any opposition batting line up facing him confidently.

10 points Shaheen Afridi Top Welsh fire bowler at 13/5 with Bet365, more firms to follow before Saturday evening

 


Blast Off

The T20 Blast and the Hundred could be disbanded and replaced with one short-form competition under proposals due to be discussed between the ECB and the counties this autumn.

There are growing concerns that the domestic schedule, which has two short-form competitions, does not work and that the Hundred will not be able to compete with other T20 franchise leagues particularly with the advent of Major League Cricket in America, which is due to expand next year and is played mid-summer thus clashing with both the Blast and the Hundred while offering more valuable contracts.

One proposal is to scrap the eight Hundred teams and the 100-ball format and replace it with a T20 league featuring the 18 counties but with a different ownership model. The eight Hundred teams are wholly owned by the ECB but a future model could include shared ownership between the ECB, the counties and private investors which would allow the counties to partner with a local business or another local sports team to raise capital investment and allow for increased salaries and therefore compete with other world franchise leagues for talent.

The Hundred has already started to feel the impact of the increase in T20 franchise leagues around the world, with many global stars either withdrawing from the competition or not entering themselves in the first place because they can receive bigger contracts in other tournaments. The top salary for men in the Hundred is £125,000, which is eclipsed by the amounts on offer not only in the Indian Premier League but also Major League Cricket, the ILT20 in the UAE and the SA20 in South Africa.

The Hundred’s present broadcast deal does not end until 2028, so any changes before then will need to get the agreement of all the counties and ensure a replacement broadcast deal.


StattoBets Dave Monthly Subscription - Soccer - Tennis - Darts

Stattobets write ups, analysis and bets are available to monthly subscribers.

Results = points bet 34780 profit +1506.90 ROI +4.33% Full details here

Monthly subs are £50 a month and can be cancelled at any time. You can sign up here


Betting Emporium results

The detailed results page has been updated on 1st July 2023. They can be found by clicking RESULTS

If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning + £67,126 All bets have an ROI +3.05%

A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £71,176 a 1678% increase 

 

 

 

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