Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

The Road to Riches Weekend of 27-28 October

Posted on 26 Oct 2018 08:58 in Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

Coming up this weekend

- Football, the Premier League fixtures include Tottenham v Manchester City on Monday night football.

- Racing, On the flat at Doncaster, Kempton and Newbury and over the jumps at Cheltenham and Kelso

- NFL, Week Eight of the 2018 Season

- Cricket, the Sri Lanka England T20 International in Colombo on Saturday

- Formula One, the Mexican Grand Prix

- Rugby Union, the Bledisloe Cup between Australia and New Zealand

Golf, the WGC-HSBC Champions in China and on the USPGA the Sanderson Farm Championship.

Tennis, ATP Opens in Basle and Vienna


NFL 2018 – Neil’s Picks

Seventeen weeks of Neil’s NFL write ups for the 2018 season continues this week costing £100 see here


PDC World Darts Championship (Dec 14th - Jan 1st 2019)

By Nigel Seeley Cost is £50 Sign up here https://www.bettingemporium.com/tips/index/230


Free tip

New Zealand v Australia Bledisloe Cup Rugby Saturday 27th October 06.45am BST

The match will be played in Yokohama, Japan, with the All Blacks having already claimed this year’s trophy.

The match is the end of the southern hemisphere season and a prelude to the teams’ tour of Europe starting the week after. New Zealand are fresh off their rugby championship win, a competition in which Australia finished third.

In the two previous Bledisloe cup matches this year New Zealand won 38-13 in Sydney and then a week later 40-12 in Auckland. For this match New Zealand are 2/11 outright, Australia best priced 13/2 and +16 on the points handicap.

The All Blacks have welcomes named one debutant in their squad for the third Test, with Dalton Papalii picked. New Zealand also have Dean Coles, Joe Moody, Brodie Retallick and Liam Squire to pick from after they overcame injury concerns picked up playing domestic rugby. Nehe Milner-Skudder has been left out of the squad.

There are three uncapped players in the Australian squad to play Bledisloe 3, with Rebels forward Angus Cottrell and Waratahs duo Jake Gordon and Jed Holloway all a chance to suit up for the Wallabies for the first time in Japan. Also of note is the inclusion of Jack Dempsey, who’s not been in Australia’s line-up for a year.

Against a side that have won less than 50% of their internationals over the last year and 2 of 6 in the rugby championship i expect New Zealand to cover and don’t see why they shouldn’t win in the 20-30 point region that they have done so far in 2018 home and away

8 points New Zealand to win by 21-30 points 7/2 Betfair/Paddy Power 100/30 Coral/ Ladbrokes


Moving time?

This weekend sees the third of three successive London NFL Weekends with the Eagles/Jaguars game in the 12th season of the league’s International Series. Recently an NFL executive Mark Waller has been commenting that the league has now reached the stage where a London team is getting close. He said on his recent trip to London

“We feel the fan demand is here, we feel the stadium infrastructure and optionality is here, we feel the government support is here. We feel the logistics and training side of it are here. We feel very good. Like I’ve always said, the one we can never test for is how does it work week-in and week-out.”

The idea in the first place was to get a team to London 15 years after launching the project. And while there are four years left on that clock, and it’ll take a team relocating or expansion (the former would be more likely than the latter) for the league to actually pull it off, the possibility of a team is increasing.

This year has inadvertently turned into a new way to test the market for the league. With the Tottenham stadium in which the NFL has invested due to host the Seattle game but not ready the NFL has had the opportunity to test Wembley playing a match on three straight weekends. That also opens a window into plans for the team with a London side likely to play home and away games in blocks.

Whilst the Jaguars owner Shad Khan pulling out of buying Wembley might be seen as a setback, Waller has also mentioned the possibility that a London team could have multiple home stadiums

 The biggest difference coming in 2019 is that the London games will be announced at the same time as the rest of the schedule, not ahead of time as had been the custom. It’s another step in an effort to “normalise” these games, and prepare for the possibility that a team will be playing some or all of its home schedule there. As for the 2019 schedule itself, there will be four games, two at Wembley and two at Tottenham.

The idea has also been mooted that a “London team” would play four home games here and four home games in a U.S. city”

What is clear is that the goal of putting a team in London that Waller and company set in 2007 has never been closer.


Brodders Football Analysis

Brodders shows a solid five year proven profitable track record. Even if you just joined in January 2018 and bet £10 a point you would already be winning £6,521 with a 4.8%  ROI. Sign up here 


Bookmaker reviews and advice

Getting the best price available is very important for all those who take their betting seriously.

Please open an account with all those bookmakers on the page on this link that you do not already have an account with using the links provided.

There are literally hundreds of pounds on offer from bookmakers just for signing up through Bettingemporium.com


Betting Emporium results

The detailed results page has been updated as have the spreadsheets with the detailed bets. They can be found by clicking RESULTS

If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning + £43,426 All bets have an ROI +3.46%

A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £47,426.30 a 1086% increase

 

 

The Road to Riches Weekend of 20th-21st October

Posted on 19 Oct 2018 09:20 in Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

Coming up this weekend

- Football, the Premier League fixtures include Chelsea v Manchester United.

- Racing, On the flat at Ascot and Catterick and over the jumps at Ffos Las, Market Rasen and Stratford. All weather racing at Wolverhampton

- NFL, Week Seven of the 2018 Season

- Rugby Union, the second round of pool games in the 2018-19 European Rugby Champions Cup

- Cricket, the Sri Lanka England ODI series continues with the Fourth ODI in Kandy on Saturday

Golf, the Dominion Energy Charity Classic in Virginia.

Tennis, ATP Opens in Antwerp, Stockholm and the Kremlin Cup in Moscow


NFL 2018 – Neil’s Picks

Seventeen weeks of Neil’s NFL write ups for the 2018 season continues this week costing £100 see here


PDC World Darts Championship (Dec 14th - Jan 1st 2019)

By Nigel Seeley Cost is £50 Sign up here 


Free tip by Neil Channing

Ascot Champions Day 4.30pm the Balmoral Handicap

 I don't have a big opinion in terms of the draw in the Balmoral Handicap, the 4.30 at Ascot, so I'm going to assume it will be fairly random as to which side has an edge, but I can see why you might want to wait and bet during the afternoon when things become clearer, although the results from the earlier races could change the prices. 

 The main factor this afternoon ought to be this horrible heavy ground. It's on days like this that I hope clerks of the course are waking up and wishing they'd allowed us to have just a few races on good to firm ground earlier in the season, although I don't want to knock Ascot too much as they do a pretty good job and certainly aren't the worst culprit. All horses here have been entered knowing what sort of ground to expect so the trainers ought to at least think they have a chance of acting or improving on the ground even if they aren't sure.
 
 Personally I think the whole thing will be a total slog so I'm simply going to look for horses who 100% stay a mile and preferably get further and who definitely want this ground. That means I'm ruling out horses like Flaming Spear who I backed last time and who looked desperately unlucky. They put the claimer on because they wanted to get the weight down, and he is a decent jockey, but sadly he got his timing slightly wrong and now they have the weight to carry on ground that he doesn't always love over a longer trip. Not for me. In terms of the trip I'll also scratch off Mijack, Safe Voyage, Another Batt and Raydiance. It's possible Safe Voyage might love the extra trip but I won't take the chance when I'm having two bets on each horse.
 
 In terms of ground I'll be pretty strict and cross off some horses who have form on soft but who have better form on a faster surface like Circus Couture, Sharja Bridge, (who I nearly crossed off on trip), Raising Sand and Kynren. I'll also gloss straight over those who we haven't seen great form from on this kind of going, maybe as they haven't even tried it, so that means losing Escobar and Tricorn.
 
 After all that I have been left with nine so it still isn't that easy but the 1/4 1234 with twenty runners is very attractive so we shouldn't be too daunted.
 
 Hathal is down in class and we know he won't mind soft and stays a mile but he hasn't got a lot of handicap experience and it doesn't look like a horse that you can be sure he'll be close to placing if he doesn't win.
 
 Michum Swagger comes here quite fresh, has solid form in decent handiacps, stays the trip and likes the ground and might make it in as one of my bets.
 
 Aquarium stays further than this and definitely goes on the ground so he ought to run a solid rce but it's hard to see him being well handicapped enough.
 
 South Seas ran well over this trip and on this ground when 2nd last time. The stable continue in great form as does the jockey and he'll love the big field.
 
 Via Via was pretty unlucky in last week's Cambridgeshire. He likes the ground, definitely stays and has the best jockey so I have to back him.
 
 Argentello beat Via Via recently but at these weights the form should be reversed and I wouldn't want to bet this less experienced horse in this class.
 
 Waarif is another who seems like he'll like the conditions but the question is whether he is up to this class.
 
 I guess Humbert might challenge for the lead throughout here and that could mean he drops away late although he ought to stay Ok on this ground.
 
 If I was going to bet four then Zwayyan would be the 4th as he has form here, he stays the trip and he likes the ground. A decent price to take a chance with but I'll stick to "just" three bets.
 
 Some people will think it's weird having three bets in one race but I love the 1/4 1234 here, please don't encourage those firms going 1/5th 12345 by giving them any business.
 
 I'm having 6 Points each-way Mitchum Swagger at 12/1 1/4 1234 with Bet365 and a few of the smaller firms on the grid.
 
 
 I'm having 8 Points each-way South Seas at 14/1 1/4 1234 with Bet365 and Hills.
 
 
 I'm having 10 Points each-way Via Via at 12/1 1/4 1234 with Hills and Sportingbet.
 
 Best of luck.
 

Flipping the bird

In 2011 the NFL introduced a rookie salary cap as part of its new collective bargaining agreement. Since then first overall draft picks are receiving about $55m less on their rookie deals. After 2011 there was a spending increase on veterans as money came out of rookie pools and was available for elsewhere on the roster but most of it has been spent on quarterbacks and franchise players at other high profile positions, which don’t include running back and safety.

The salary cap is rising about $10 million a year and with that, the record for largest contract in history keeps getting broken. Quarterbacks Derek Carr, Matthew Stafford, Jimmy Garoppolo, Aaron Rodgers, and Matt Ryan have all broken the record for salaries in the past eighteen months. The salary cap boom has coincided with the rise in passing (helped by rule changes making it tougher to defend without getting penalised) that has seen scoring and passing records broken in the last five years, the latest being Drew Brees last week.

The 2011 CBA led to an unintended consequence which was that teams soon started to change how they constructed their rosters. The few star players apart they began to get younger and cheaper. Football Outsiders, which tracks the age of NFL players said the average age of a player in 2017 was 26.46, the lowest on record.

With cheap young players being more widely used instead of mid-level veterans, those veterans have lost most of their financial leverage.

Teams have been ruthless with their salary cap management. When a franchise extracts all the value it can from a rookie and then lets him go, that front office is doing well for its team but the players have less opportunity to secure that lucrative second contract. The result has been more player hold outs and whilst not all hold outs fail (Khalil Mack was traded, Aaron Donald was paid) the majority do and players return to play,

The sight of Earl Thomas a future Hall of Famer making an obscene gesture to the Seattle bench when being carried from the field in Arizona with a broken leg a fortnight ago is within the context of this ongoing struggle between teams and players.

The Seahawks got a lot of value for their money from Thomas over eight years which his contract expiring after this year. Since Thomas signed his deal in 2014 the safety market has reset within a much bigger salary cap notably with Eric Berry’s $78 million deal last year with the Chiefs. Thomas, whose deal was worth $40m, wanted an extension or a trade, but the Seahawks wanted neither.

Thomas skipped training camp this summer not wanting to get hurt and then showed up for the first week of the season. Thomas then staged a “hold in” for most of September instead of a holdout. This means he was in the building during the week and playing games, but he’d sit on the side at practice in protest of his situation.

In Pittsburgh, star running back Le’Veon Bell is sitting out half the season to preserve his health for free agency at the end of the season. He’s been unhappy with his contract for at least three seasons. Bell was drafted by the Steelers in 2013 and has played six seasons for the team in three of which he made less than $1 million despite making the all-pro team three times.

The modern NFL rewards teams for not allowing the player’s goal which is to land a lucrative second or third contract but giving out as few of those as possible has become the quickest way for a team to build a contender.


Brodders Football Analysis

Brodders shows a solid five year proven profitable track record. Even if you just joined in January 2018 and bet £10 a point you would already be winning £6,521 with a 4.8%  ROI. Sign up here 


Bookmaker reviews and advice

Getting the best price available is very important for all those who take their betting seriously.

Please open an account with all those bookmakers on the page on this link that you do not already have an account with using the links provided.

There are literally hundreds of pounds on offer from bookmakers just for signing up through Bettingemporium.com


Betting Emporium results

The detailed results page has been updated as have the spreadsheets with the detailed bets. They can be found by clicking RESULTS

If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning + £43,426 All bets have an ROI +3.46%

A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £47,426.30 a 1086% increase

The Road to Riches Weekend of 13th-14th October

Posted on 12 Oct 2018 09:04 in Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

Coming up this weekend

- Football, the International break features Nations Cup matches including Croatia v England tonight.

- Racing, On the flat at Newmarket, York and Chelmsford City and over the jumps at Chepstow and Hexham

- NFL, Week Six of the 2018 Season

- Rugby Union, the start of the 2018-19 European Rugby Champions Cup

- Cricket, the Sri Lanka England ODI series continues with the Second ODI in rainy season Dambulla on Saturday

Golf, the British Masters at Walton Heath and TPC Kuala Lumpur.

Tennis, ATP Shanghai


NFL 2018 – Neil’s Picks

Seventeen weeks of Neil’s NFL write ups for the 2018 season continues this week costing £100 see here

 


Free tip

European Rugby Champions Cup Pool 4 Ulster v Leicester 5.30pm Saturday

The 2018-19 ERCC pool matches start this weekend and this match sees the two outsiders in the Pool 4 meet at Ravenhill, Belfast

I have first hand knowledge of Leicester, I watch them frequently. I also have, a few years removed, experience of Ulster’s mighty home advantage at Ravenhill. I had been working in Belfast and due to bad weather my Friday afternoon flight back had been cancelled, and I faced an extra night in the Europa hotel. My colleague and I decided to take in Ulster v Llanelli (now the Scarlets) that evening in what was then the Heineken Cup. We went to the bar and in our nice English accents asked for a couple of pints. Time froze as eyebrows raised and the atmosphere quietened.  We drank up quickly and proceeded to watch the match (mouths shut) agog at the ferocity of the crowd and the very basic conditions. Since then the ground has been redeveloped but the home advantage is real. Last year in a group containing Wasps and Harlequins, Ulster didn’t come close to qualifying for the knock out stages they won their three home matches including versus the pool winners La Rochelle.

Ulster are currently third in their Pro 14 group and whilst they haven’t been in the vanguard of the re-invention of the Irish provincial game with the agreement between the National Union and the sides helping increase performance and Academies churning out young talent they are still a solid side led by Irish captain Rory Best and with last year’s Six Nations Player of the Year Jacob Stockdale (11 tries in 11 tests at the age of 22, six in last year’s six nations) the finisher on the wing.

Leicester have been rebuilding for ages, and after losing 40-6 at Exeter to start the season sacked coach Matt O’Connor. That rebuilding is affected by the tight salary cap. This is a side that can field when at full strength Ben Youngs, George Ford, Jonny May, Manu Tuilagi and Dan Cole but squad depth is an issue.

Leicester won 1 of 6 games in last season’s ERCC and have won 3 of 6 in the Gallagher Premiership this season. They key issue that interim coach Geordan Murphy has to fix is the defense. In their first four games of the season they conceded 158 points! (40 at Exeter, 33 against Newcastle, 41 at Wasps and 44 at home to Worcester). Things have improved slightly, holding bottom club Sale to 15 and then Northampton to 15 on a wet Saturday last weekend at Wembley.

The essential issues are that George Ford can be attacked in the 10 channel and the back row lacks solidity. Not a great combination heading to Ulster and Stockdale in particular.

Ulster should be comfortable favourites here, more comfortable than an outright price of 4/5 and -3 on the handicap implies

I like them to win by a couple of scores in the Winning margin market in what weather permitting should be a high scoring match but as yet markets and prices are yet to fully form, should be around a 7/2 shot. So for the first time in about 300 columns I am going to put an odds on outright winner bet up (feel I should say sorry!)

20 points Ulster to win at 4/5 William Hill 1.78 Betfair 1.74 Matchbook


A butterly flaps its wings

The NFL has been in an accelerating process of change since the 1990s when studies showing a connection between head blows and brain damage emerged and the existence of chronic traumatic encephalopathy, or CTE, moved into the public consciousness.

The NFL instituted rules to salvage both its players and its business. The game is changing to survive, and it’s happening in real time. This season those rules were altered again, and the result has been big changes to the way games are refereed in the first few weeks of the new season. At issue is change to an 80-year-old rules infraction.

Widespread confusion was foreseen when in the off-season the NFL created a rule to penalise any player lowering his helmet to initiate contact and indeed it was the source of much angst in the pre-season. However it is a different rule that has thrown the NFL into chaos.

This offseason, the league’s rules committee quietly decreed that officials would more aggressively enforce a “body weight” rider to the roughing-the-passer rule with a single word change. The original rider, added in 1995, states: “When tackling a passer during or just after throwing a pass, a defensive player is prohibited from unnecessarily and violently throwing him down and landing on top of him with all or most of the defender’s weight.”

For 2018, the last part reads, “a defensive player is prohibited from unnecessarily and violently throwing him down or landing on top of him with all or most of the defender’s weight.”

Now what players, commentators and fans routinely deem as legal tackles are being flagged. The Packers’ Clay Matthews was the highest profile “victim” of the change, flagged for a hit on the Vikings’ Kirk Cousins. Matthews hit Cousins just after the QB released the ball, and while he did hit him in the chest and take him to the ground, Matthews also kept his own head out of the play. Green Bay was penalised, and what would have been a game-clinching interception on the play was negated. The teams finished tied at 29. In Week 3, Dolphins defensive end William Hayes tore his right ACL trying to avoid landing on top of Raiders quarterback Derek Carr during a sack.

Through the first four weeks of the regular season there have been 38 roughing the passer calls in 63 games. In 2017 there 21 in the same number of games. Just changing one word in an old rule has changed the outcome of games.


 

Brodders Football Analysis

Brodders shows a solid five year proven profitable track record. Even if you just joined in January 2018 and bet £10 a point you would already be winning £6,521 with a 4.8%  ROI. Sign up here 


Bookmaker reviews and advice

Getting the best price available is very important for all those who take their betting seriously.

Please open an account with all those bookmakers on the page on this link that you do not already have an account with using the links provided.

There are literally hundreds of pounds on offer from bookmakers just for signing up through Bettingemporium.com


Betting Emporium results

The detailed results page has been updated as have the spreadsheets with the detailed bets. They can be found by clicking RESULTS

If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning + £43,426 All bets have an ROI +3.46%

A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £47,426.30 a 1086% increase

 

 

The Road to Riches Weekend of 6th-7th October

Posted on 5 Oct 2018 09:21 in Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

Coming up this weekend

- Football, the Premier League fixtures include Liverpool v Manchester City.

- Racing, On the flat at Ascot, Newmarket, Redcar and Wolverhampton and over the jumps at Fontwell Park, The Prix De L'Arce de Triomphe on Sunday.

- NFL, Week Five of the 2018 Season

- Rugby Union, the final round of the Rugby Championship, South Africa v New Zealand and Argentina v Australia

- Formula One, the Japanese Grand Prix at Suzuka

Golf, the Alfred Dunhill Links at St Andrews and on the USPGA the Safeway Open at Silverado.

Tennis, ATP Opens in China and Japan


NFL 2018 – Neil’s Picks

Seventeen weeks of Neil’s NFL write ups for the 2018 season continues this week costing £100 see here


Free tip

2018-19 European Champions Cup Betting Preview

This year’s competition begins next weekend with he final at St James’ Park Newcastle next May

As ever the format sees 20 teams play in five groups with the group winners and three best runners up meet in seeded knock out stages. There is an advantage in being a top four seed, for home advantage in the Quarter finals and whilst this year’s tournament undoubtedly has a lot of depth a look at the groups to see potential paths through to a high seeding is important.

Leinster took the title in magnificent style in Bilbao in May beating Racing92 and are drawn against a trio of former champions in Wasps, Toulouse and Bath Rugby

Castres Olympique, who were crowned Top14 champions, will be in Pool 2 along with Exeter Chiefs, Munster Rugby and Gloucester Rugby. This looks a particularly tough group

The Premiership winners, Saracens, have been drawn in Pool 3 with Glasgow Warriors, Lyon and Cardiff Blues. As groups go, this should be a relatively comfortable passage for the English side.

In Pool 4 one of the stand out sides from last year’s competition the Scarlets meet Racing 92, Leicester Tigers and Ulster Rugby

In the final pool come Montpellier, Newcastle Falcons, Edinburgh Rugby and Toulon.

The development of and increased strength in the Irish provinces came to fruition with Leinster’s triumph with emerging Academy talent reaching maturity and the agreement with the national side to limit the amount of play of the international players undoubtedly being a help late in the season.

Saracens apart, English sides have struggled to make an impact in the competition in recent seasons and that is for structural reasons with English players undertaking punishing schedules and the combined effect of a hard salary cap and rising player salaries meaning a lack of depth in squads has been a factor. A lot of Southern Hemisphere talent, attracted by the riches on offer in Europe, goes to France and is one of the reasons why the majority of the Top 14 sides are competitive year in and year out

Ante Post odds for the competition at the time of writing are

Leinster 2/1

Saracens 3/1

Montpellier 8/1

Exeter 9/1

Munster 14/1

Racing92 16/1

20/1 Bar.

My hunt is for value outside the front two, who are reasonable enough favourites but not a lot of value for a six month bet.

This is where an analysis of the groups comes in. I wanted before the draw to look to back Exeter, a really well coached side perennially challenging Saracens domestically with players that aren’t over-worked as most don’t play Internationally and who are very tough to play against. However the combination of a skinny price and their tough group (Castres and Munster have demonstrable home advantages, such that even if Exeter get through its unlikely to be with a top seed points haul) put paid to that

My next candidate was Montpellier under former Scotland coach Vern Cotter and despite middling top 14 form their Southern Hemisphere talent should have them as contenders notably Cruden and Nadolo. They also have a very winnable looking group. What put me off again was the dingle figure price, these factors are already in the price

I backed Munster last year and they made the semi-finals at a double-digit price but its that group again. Castres and Exeter: they are no certainties to get through.

Which led me to Racing 92. The Paris side are a real thrill to watch in Europe and marmalised sides on their way to the final last year and should get through a group where two of the sides, Leicester and Ulster, are not the forces they once were. Either Racing or Scarlets should top the group with the other a good shot at one of the runners up spots given lack of depth in the group. Of course the presence of Scarlets accounts for Racing being 16-1 ante post not the 8-1+ Montpellier, behind them in their domestic league, are.

This season they have supplemented their strong squad with the likes of Finn Russell and Simon Zebo and its not a team that is going to die wondering. Bonus points should be on the agenda in high scoring games, key if they are to have the fall back of that runners up spot to get through but hopefully they win the group. They are 7/4 favourites to do so ahead of Scarlets at 2/1.

10 points each way Racing 92 to win the 2018-19 European Champions Cup at 16-1 Skybet, Betfred, Ladbrokes/Coral


Howzat?

The end of the 2018 County Championship season has come and gone and soon enough England will be back in action on their Sri Lanka tour.  The 2018 domestic season was a remarkable one, and not always for the right reasons mainly on the batting front where all sides have struggled for runs. Take for example Kent, who ran Warwickshire close to the Division two title despite only gaining 16 batting bonus points in 14 matches. Six of the ten sides in the division won less than 16 batting points.

In the final round of matches last week only one match went to the final day, that after Champions Surrey had been knocked over for 67 in their first innings. Overall the season had the lowest runs-per-wicket average of any season since 1974. Since two divisions were instigated in 2000, only twice has the runs-per-wicket average fallen below 30 — this year and 2012. What is striking is that it was a very good hot summer, conditions in which you would normally expect batsmen to make hay -  this gave me a wrong steer in the India/England test series where with the exception of one game the red Duke ball moved a lot all series and the Indian batsmen never coped. 

Incredibly in 2018 only two batsmen passed 1,000 runs in the season, a milestone that in the days of more first-class cricket could occasionally be achieved by the end of May. Only two batsmen Ian Bell and the heir apparent to Alistair Cook’s test opening spot Rory Burns did so. Back in 2008 40 batsmen reached 1,000 runs in the season (in two matches more).

So what gives?

Firstly there are constant complaints that pitch quality is poor around the country. Better pitches are saved for the big crowd, high revenue and desired high entertainment T20 matches in the height of summer. Championship pitches have invariably been result pitches.

Secondly The shape and structure of the season has an impact, with most four day matches played early and late in the summer in seam bowling friendly conditions.

Thirdly batting technique has been possibly irrevocably altered by the amount of one day cricket players play. Run rates rise but “stickability” has fallen with comparatively few batsmen willing or able to grind it out in tough conditions. Often there has been a “play-some-shots-because-one-will-have-my-number-on-it” attitude.

Probably as soon as the Sri Lanka tour on what will be big turning pitches we will see how little the County Championship prepares our batsmen for the longer form of the game, something that has been evident for several years especially in the top three of the batting order. 

Then we come to the bigger question, how far does the county gamet exist to feed the national team and how far to be an entertaining competition in its own right? For the past two decades the argument for the former has held sway but as smaller counties feel increasingly marginalised by their exclusion from the Hundred, they are under pressure to become more financially self-sufficient, which means results, and the need to attract bigger crowds.

 


Brodders Football Analysis

Long term profit over more than four years.  So far in 2018 Brodders’ column is winning £4,071 to £10 a point with a 3.13% ROI

Sign up here 


Bookmaker reviews and advice

Getting the best price available is very important for all those who take their betting seriously.

Please open an account with all those bookmakers on the page on this link that you do not already have an account with using the links provided.

There are literally hundreds of pounds on offer from bookmakers just for signing up through Bettingemporium.com


Betting Emporium results

The detailed results page has been updated as have the spreadsheets with the detailed bets. They can be found by clicking RESULTS

If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning + £43,426 All bets have an ROI +3.46%

The Road to Riches Weekend of 29th-30th September

Posted on 28 Sep 2018 07:43 in Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

Coming up this weekend

- Football, the Premier League fixtures include Chelsea v Liverpool.

Golf, the Ryder Cup in Paris

- Racing, On the flat at Chelmsford, Chester, Haydock, Newmarket and Ripon and on the jumps at Market Rasen

- NFL, Week Four of the 2018 Season

- Rugby Union, the penultimate round of the Rugby Championship, Argentina v New Zealand and South Africa v Australia

- Formula One, the Russian Grand Prix in Sochi

Tennis, ATP Opens in China at Chengdu and Shenzhen


NFL 2018 – Neil’s Picks

Seventeen weeks of Neil’s NFL write ups for the 2018 season continues this week costing £100 see here


 

Free tip

Rugby Championship Round Five

South Africa v Australia (Port Elizabeth) 4.05pm GMT

These two teams experienced contrasting fortunes in Round 4. South Africa achieved the huge surprise result of beating New Zealand in Wellington while the Australians lost at home to Argentina

South Africa do not lack individual talent but in a new coaching set up and a predominantly young team consistency has been a problem. Key individuals raised their game in Wellington notably Malcolm Marx but also Du Toit, Dyantyi, Mostert and Whiteley were all brilliant particularly defensively.

Few had given the Springboks any chance of winning the game, having lost their last two matches and seemingly dropped below the standard that drove them to a 2-1 series win over England in June. Mindful the All Blacks have scored 38 or more in each of their Rugby Championship games this season, they knew they would need to score more than 30 themselves to have a chance.

Returning home for this match, in second place in the championship with confidence up they should be favourites to consolidate the Wellington win albeit they have five changes enforced through injury.

At home to Argentina, Australia missed lots of opportunities including a late chance with an overlap to score a try to win the game and they slumped to a fifth defeat in seven tests this season, and with it to the bottom of this Championship league table. At least here they have captain Hooper back into his back row partnership with David Pocock.

The upshot of these results is of course some recency bias in prices. South Africa are 7 point handicap favourites here having been five point underdogs when the teams met in Australia three weeks ago, a match Australia won. I was tempted to pick Australia outright but I do think this this match will be close. What is in their favour is that the match is at sea level in Port Elizabeth, travelling to play at altitude in the grounds inland on the high veldt is a tougher task.

10 points South Africa to win by 1-12 points at 11/5 Ladbrokes/Coral, 7/4 Betfair Sportsbook, 13/8 Skybet


Against the head.

A £275m offer tabled by the private equity firm CVC Capital Partners to buy 50% of Premiership Rugby was rejected at a meeting of the leading club owners. A unanimous vote is required for the bid to succeed but it is understood a significant minority of owners are firmly against the plan. a new offer from CVC could come under consideration.  CVC previously bought a 70 per cent stake in Formula One in 2006 for about £1.3 billion and last year sold it to Liberty Media for around £6.2 billion, growing market for sports right and under-marketed potential in a well heeled sport. in 2014 CVC Capital Partners made a play for the 2015 World Cup as part of a global sports strategy,back then it thought scale n club rugby was insufficient

CVC is keen to buy more sports assets. In the past it has looked at Manchester United and Liverpool and was interested in buying into Chelsea last year. After making about £8 billion from its decade-long ownership of Formula One, CVC wants to buy into baseball, Wimbledon and the America’s Cup. It once owned William Hill, the bookmaker, and tried to buy Betfair. In 2012 it came close to acquiring IMG but was outbid by William Morris.

the view is that the offer undervalues the league by a considerable amount. industry valuations of £800 million for the league.PRL will instead look to attract fresh investment from other sources and seek to retain a bigger share of a business. The decision will not delight those owners of smaller clubs keen for an immediate cash injection to offset collective Premiership losses of £28.5m in 2016-17.

still substantial financial growth in the game, not least via increasing television rights.

PRL has already seen revenue rise by 88% in the past five years to £70m. Last season saw an 11% rise in live audiences on BT Sport and a cumulative audience of more than 10 million people watched live Premiership matches on the same channel last season.

The Premiership has also become the first club rugby union tournament to air on national television in China following the signing of a four-year contract with the Chinese free-to-air sports broadcaster CCTV5+.

What seems certain now is that investment, whether by selling a minority share in the league or taking a loan, will happen this season in order to release capital for the clubs to improve infrastructure and clear debts.


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