Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

The Road to Riches Weekend of 25th-26th June

Posted on 24 Jun 2022 10:25 in Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

Coming up this weekend

  • Horse Racing On the flat at Chester, Doncaster, Lingfield, Newcastle, Newmarket and Windsor.
  • Cricket the Test Match series between England and New Zealand continues at Headingley.
  • Golf The John Deere Classic on the USPGA and the Irish Open on the DP World Tour
  • Tennis Wimbledon starts on Monday

Free tip

T20 Essex v Surrey Friday 7pm

Surrey have been the best team in this season’s Group stages of the T20 Vitality blast, having won 9 of their 11 games and only losing the first last night in Hove with a weakened side. They have already qualified for the knockout stages.

Recent sides have been missing Roy, Sam Curran and Topley on England duty in the Netherlands and Pollard, ruled out through injury. The first three may be in contention to return to the squad for tonight’s game

Through the season their star performer with the bat has been opener Will Jacks with 396 runs at an average of 40 including five fifties in his 10 innings. Only a young player, he already has plenty of experience in the franchise leagues around the world including the Big bash and before long is going to be in England’s set up as a clean striking hitter.

Essex sit in third place in the South Group with six wins and four losses so far. Interesting to see them odds against underdogs at home here where they are very strong and being in a tight battle for one of the four qualification places near the end of the group stages, highly motivated.

Chelmsford is one of the smaller county grounds and the likes of the returning Roy and Curran could certainly fire for Surrey but for consistency, and also opening the batting, the best bet in the top batsman market is Jacks with an opportunity here because the return of Roy as favourite lengthens Jacks’ price. I was going to tip him up at, I hoped, 3/1+ in this market but time is pressing on and no markets are available

Instead I will settle for Essex outright

15 points Essex to beat Surrey at 2.3 on Betfair, 2.28 Matchbook and 6/5 Bet365, Betfred, BetVictor


Bazball

12 months ago England played New Zealand at Lords and turned down a last day run chase at just over 3 runs an over on the last day, and the game petered out to a draw. A year later, the contrast in approach at Trent Bridge last week could not have been more stark.

Having made 553 in the first innings, the sixth highest first innings total in a Test that has ended in defeat, New Zealand lost by five wickets as England chased down their target with nearly 20 overs in hand.

In that chase Jonny Bairstow playing the innings of his life, 136 from 92 balls. Much has been written about the effect of a lot of one day and franchise cricket on Test match techniques but this innings was an example of the upside of that influence for the Test game, where run chases are more attainable due to fast scoring and the experience of pressure in chasing totals.

England’s victory really came down to their first innings, they got themselves up to New Zealand’s total but did so pushing a rate of a little over four-an-over that still left more than five sessions left in the game. So far this series they have attacked 35% of their balls faced, the highest rate since the stat has been monitored by cricviz and others.

Overall under McCullum and Stokes, a change of leadership and a bit of optimism, energy and vibrancy in the team can change things pretty quickly, it seems! This after all is the same team that went to the Caribbean, with the exception of Anderson and Broad and many of the same players that were in Australia.


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A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £63,082.60 a 1477% increase 

 

The Road to Riches: Weekend of 17-18th June

Posted on 16 Jun 2022 11:48 in Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

Coming up this weekend

  • Horse Racing On the flat at Ascot, Ayr, Goodwood, Newmarket and Redcar. Over the jumps at Market Rasen.
  • Cricket the Test Match series between England and New Zealand continues at Headingley next week
  • Formula One, the Canadian Grand Prix 
  • Rugby Union, the Gallagher Premiership Play-Off Final
  • Golf The Travelers Championship on the USPGA and the BMW International on the DP World Tour

Free tip

Gallagher Premiership Final Saracens v Leicester Saturday 3pm

Two seasons ago Leicester Tigers and Saracens were the bottom two sides in the Gallagher Premiership. The only reason that years of decline at Leicester did not ultimately end in relegation was because Saracens were forcibly demoted ahead of them.

Now, First and second in the regular season league table play in this weekend’s Play-off final. Saracens were hugely physical in their 17 point victory over Harlequins last weekend and were ruthless in taking their chances in the 22 and exceptional in defence. They won despite three yellow cards. Leicester’s performance was more prosaic for long periods of their victory over Northampton, often struggling to impose their game and eventually relying on forward strength and a talismanic performance from George Ford who scored 22 points to get them over the line in his penultimate match before leaving for Sale Sharks.

Here Saracens are five point favourites and Leicester will have to show more than they did in their semi-final to get past a side who can match them up front and are very difficult to break down.

I will take Saracens with the points

11 points Saracens -5 points at 10/11 generally


Liv long and Prosper?

As the first Saudi backed LIV Tour event began outside London last week, The PGA Tour announced it was suspending 17 rebel members who have chosen to play in the Invitational event. In response LIV called the PGA Tour "vindictive".

Six-time major champion Phil Mickelson and former world number one Dustin Johnson are among the biggest names in the sport to have been persuaded by the Saudi millions with suggestions that Bryson DeChambeau is to play in the second event in Portland, Oregon at the end of June.

Mickelson has not denied speculation he is picking up $200m (£160m), with Johnson getting a reported $150m in appearance fees for joining the series which is being bankrolled to the tune of £1.6bn by Saudi Arabia's Public Investment Fund (PIF).

Ticket sales have undeniably been slow though. The tournament had a cap of 8,000 fans per day but players such as Lee Westwood have been advertising promo codes for free tickets on their social media channels.

As well as an individual competition, there are 12 teams of four players, with names like Majesticks, Fireballs and Iron Heads. LIV Golf want fans to pick teams that they can root for throughout the entire series of eight events although that may prove tricky in this first year with players likely to change from event to event.

No broadcasters have signed up. Instead, LIV were streaming coverage via their own website and on YouTube, which attracted a concurrent audience of around 100,000 towards the end of the day's play.

 


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Betting Emporium results

The detailed results page has been updated on 1st April 2022. They can be found by clicking RESULTS

If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning  + £59,082.60 All bets have an ROI +2.90%

A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £63,082.60 a 1477% increase 

The Road to Riches Weekend of 11th-12th June

Posted on 8 Jun 2022 11:54 in Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

The Road to Riches Weekend of 11th-12th June

Coming up this weekend

  • Horse Racing On the flat at Bath, Chester, Leicester, Sandown and York. Over the jumps at Hexham and Worcester.
  • Football, UEFA Nations League Matches including England v Italy
  • Cricket the Test Match series between England and New Zealand continues at Trent Bridge
  • Formula One, the Azerbaijan Grand Prix 
  • Rugby Union, the Gallagher Premiership Play-Off Semi-Finals
  • Golf The US Open next Thursday
  • Tennis ATP Queens and Halle Opens in the run up to Wimbledon.

 Royal Ascot (Full Package) 14th - 18th June 2022

Get all Neil's write ups and details of all our bets for the five days of Royal Ascot for £199 here 


Free tip

Gallagher Premiership Semi-finals Saracens v Harlequins 1.30pm Saturday

Second plays third from the regular season table in the first of the play off semi-finals this weekend.

This is Saracens’ first season back in the top flight after their salary cap misdemeanours. They are not quite the team they used to be, minus Barritt, Skelton amongst experienced players but still a formidable team packed with internationals and with lots of young talent that was blooded out on loan during Saracens exile into the Championship.

Harlequins won last year’s play-offs and also have lots of firepower, playing off the Danny Care/Marcus Smith axis. The battle between Smith and Owen Farrell, recently returned from the injury that caused him to miss the Six Nations will obviously be key.

This should be a very close game and Saracens at home are favoured by a score in the handicap markets. I like Quins to keep it closer than the 7 point spread here given their attacking and scoring potential.

11 points Harlequins + 7 points at 10/11 generally

 


Rooted

Joe Root has scored 2,192 runs across his last 21 Tests, stretching back to January 2021, with nine centuries at an average of 56.20. In the recent first Test against New Zealand at Lords Root became the 14th man, and second from England, after Sir Alastair Cook, to the milestone of 10,000 Test runs.

Root achieved the landmark at exactly the same age as Cook (31) during his match-clinching 115 not out in the final innings of the game.

Root is now 5,906 short of Sachin Tendulkar's tally of 15,921 Test runs. Fitness permitting you would think Root has a minimum of five years Test cricket left in him and has a fair shot at ending up about Tendulkar’s record given the amount of Test cricket England play.

His feats so far are more remarkable because his form has coincided with a difficult period as captain in a poor team and the general lack of run scoring from the rest of the England line up.


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Betting Emporium results

The detailed results page has been updated on 1st April 2022. They can be found by clicking RESULTS

If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning  + £59,082.60 All bets have an ROI +2.90%

A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £63,082.60 a 1477% increase 

 

The Road to Riches: Weekend of 4th-5th June

Posted on 30 May 2022 11:43 in Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

Coming up this weekend

  • Horse Racing On the flat at Chepstow, Doncaster, Epsom, Lingfield and Musselburgh. Over the jumps at Hexham and Worcester.
  • Football, UEFA Nations League Matches
  • Cricket the Test Match series between England and New Zealand continues at Lords  
  • Golf The Canadian Open on the USPGA and the Scandinavian Open on the DP World Tour
  • Tennis ATP Libema and Stuttgart Opens

 Royal Ascot (Full Package) 14th - 18th June 2022

Get all Neil's write ups and details of all our bets for the five days of Royal Ascot for £199 here 


Free tip

The Derby: Saturday 4.30pm by Neil Channing

We have a 17 runner Derby with a very solid favourite. I don't want to disregard Desert Crown, who could easily win, and I can actually see him trading a little closer to 6/4 than 2/1 tomorrow. His stable are in pretty good form, the horse was tremendously impressive in The Dante and that is often the best trial for this. However, with bookmakers offering extra places I think we ought to look at something that might get 4th if it doesn't win and I think that means looking at those just behind the favourite in the market. I've spoken before about Favourite/Longshot bias being a concept that the exchange markets really grasp and how they reflect that concept more than the bookies, who are often defensive when pricing up outsiders due to their generous place terms. It would be bad to bet something at 33/1 that goes off 60-65 on the exchange as we'd be undoing our good work of getting the extra place, so for that reason I'm ignoring anything that is over 25/1. That leaves us six possibles and I'll run through them all...
 
 Walk of Stars was favourite in the Lingfield Derby trial and was beaten less than a length into 2nd having missed the break. He did that in his previous race too, but we did learn that he stays this trip and although he looks slightly quirky, his run there suggests Epsom should be Ok. The jockey has had a great season so far and the trainer obviously understands how to win this race. Looks solid to place at least.
 
 Star of India is drawn quite wide and he was well beaten in the Craven before coming back to win at Chester in a weaker race. He's bred to improve over this trip but he'll need to come forward a lot and I'm not keen at the price.
 
 Piz Badile won the Group 3 Ballysax by a short head but that form doesn't look great to me and he'll have to improve a lot.
 
 Changingoftheguard was no great shakes as a two year old but this year he won his maiden on the all-weather at Dundalk when odds-on and then he bolted up at Chester in their Derby trial. I definitely wasn't all that impressed by any of those Chester races and he'll have to improve a lot plus he is drawn very wide.
 
 Nations Pride won his maiden on his 2nd juvenile start when odds-on and then he won a conditions race also at odds-on, this time over ten furlongs. This year he won a weak race in Meydan over ten pretty easily and then won a listed over that trip at Newmarket. I'd like to be sure he stays I think and I'm not really sure he is any better than Walk of Stars although William Buick obviously thinks he is.
 
 Stone Age ran five times last year and couldn't manage to win, generally it looked like he wanted further. This year he has run over ten furlongs in both his races and he's won both of them, the first a maiden at 1/3 and the latter an easy win in the Group 3 Leopardstown Derby Trial. I don't think I'm getting too excited at the price here although he could definitely win.
 
 There probably are a few interesting ones at the bigger prices, particularly if you can get more than four places but at 1/5th 1234 I have just one bet which I think is very solid...
 
 
 I'm having 16 Points each-way Walk of Stars at 16/1 1/5th 1234 with William Hills and Paddy Power/Betfair Sportsbook.

 


Stripped

Wimbledon has been stripped of its ATP ranking points following the decision to ban Russian and Belarusian players from this summer’s Championships.

The ATP and WTA had both criticised the decision to ban Russian and Belarusian players following the invasion of Ukraine.

Wimbledon chairman Ian Hewitt said the UK Government had left them with “no viable alternative”, but the ATP has now removed ranking points from the tournament.

“The ability for players of any nationality to enter tournaments based on merit, and without discrimination, is fundamental to our Tour,” read an ATP statement.

The ATP said it does not “underestimate the difficult decisions” Wimbledon and the Lawn Tennis Association had faced in responding to UK Government guidance. But the Tour questioned Wimbledon’s claim there was no other decision to be made.

The statement added: “We note that this was informal guidance, not a mandate, which offered an alternative option that would have left the decision in the hands of individual players competing as neutral athletes through a signed declaration.

Ranking points will remain at ATP Tour events at Queen’s (ATP 500), Eastbourne (ATP 250) and ATP Challenger events on the basis that alternative playing opportunities are open to Russian and Belarusian players in those weeks, unlike during Wimbledon, which minimises any impact on the integrity of the rankings.


StattoBets Dave Monthly Subscription - Soccer - Tennis - Darts

Stattobets write ups, analysis and bets are available to monthly subscribers.

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Monthly subs are £50 a month and can be cancelled at any time. You can sign up here


Betting Emporium results

The detailed results page has been updated on 1st April 2022. They can be found by clicking RESULTS

If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning  + £59,082.60 All bets have an ROI +2.90%

A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £63,082.60 a 1477% increase 

The Road to Riches: Weekend of 27th-28th May

Posted on 25 May 2022 13:04 in Weekly Articles "Road to Riches" by Rich 'Tighty' Prew

Coming up this weekend

  • Horse Racing On the flat at Beverley, Catterick, Chester, Haydock and Salisbury. Over the jumps at Ffos Las and on the all-weather at Chelmsford City
  • Football, The Champions League Final
  • Rugby Union, the European Champions Cup Final
  • Cricket the Test Match series between England and New Zealand starts at Lords next week
  • Formula One, the Monaco Grand Prix
  • Golf The Memorial at Muirfield Village on the USPGA and the European Open on the DP World Tour
  • Tennis The French Open continues

 Royal Ascot (Full Package) 14th - 18th June 2022

Get all Neil's write ups and details of all our bets for the five days of Royal Ascot for £199 here 


Free tip

European Champions Cup Final

Leinster v La Rochelle in Marseille, Saturday 4.45pm

Leinster four times winners of this competition, the last time in 2018 are attempting to match Toulouse’s five-win record. Since 2018 Leinster have lost to Saracens in the 2019 final and lost their semi-final against La Rochelle last year when missing the injured Sexton.

In the semi final this year, at home they battered Toulouse 40-17 and are understandably favourites for the final. The starting team contains 13 Irish Internationals, the squad is augmented by a superb Academy pipeline and through the season the coaches can manage the workload of the top players as their domestic league the URC is weak compared to the French and English leagues.

La Rochelle are now coached by Ronan O’Gara, and were beaten finalists last year and now only the fourth side in the competition to make consecutive finals. They beat Racing 92 in the al-French semi 23-10 from 10-0 down

La Rochelle have a massive pack and plenty of creativity out wide, and as a result can play in a variety of ways. They’d be unlikely to win a high tempo game against Leinster but in a tighter game they are likely to keep the score closer than the 11 point spread implies.

12 points La Rochelle +11 points at Evens with Bet365, 10/11 generally


Early Doors

The current World Rugby Rankings are as follows

South Africa 1

France 2

New Zealand 3

Ireland 4

Ahead of the 2023 World Cup in France, the consequences of the December 2020 pool draw are clear. It has distorted the competition by virtue of such a long organisational timeframe adopted

France are in the same Pool, Pool A, as New Zealand whilst South Africa and Ireland are both in pool B. At the quarter-final stage, the winners of pool A face the runners-up of pool B and vice-versa meaning that a maximum of two of the four current top raked sides sides can reach the semi-finals.

England have a pool containing Argentina and Japan that they should win, Should they do so they would be likely to meet Wales in the quarter-finals and will be favourites to make the semi-finals without facing a team currently ranked higher than eighth.

Ireland face South Africa in their pool and will have to beat France (second) or New Zealand (third) if they are to reach a first ever semi-final. It is the toughest of tough draws even for a team near its peak and likely to remain so through 2023

This coming weekend French and Irish teams will meet in the European Champions Cup final in Marseille at the end of a competition they have dominated for several seasons, by virtue of big salary caps compared to other nations (for the French sides) and the combination of top tier talent and an unrivalled academy system (for Leinster). There is far less likelihood that the 2023 World Cup final will be dominated by their national sides albeit ranked in the top four in the world because of the shape of the draw.

 


StattoBets Dave Monthly Subscription - Soccer - Tennis - Darts

Stattobets write ups, analysis and bets are available to monthly subscribers.

Results = points bet 26860 profit +1132.47 ROI +4.22% Full details here

Monthly subs are £50 a month and can be cancelled at any time. You can sign up here


Betting Emporium results

The detailed results page has been updated on 1st April 2022. They can be found by clicking RESULTS

If you bet £10 per point on every recommended bet since launch you would be winning  + £59,082.60 All bets have an ROI +2.90%

A £4000 bank betting £10 a point on all selections would now be worth £63,082.60 a 1477% increase 

 

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